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Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction, 11/29/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/25/2020

Dries Mertens Napoli

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Game: Napoli vs AS Roma

Date: Sunday, November 29, 2020

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (+104) AS Roma (+195)

Stadio San Paolo is the venue where Dries Mertens and Napoli (5-0-3, 6th in Serie A) will take on AS Roma (5-2-1, 3rd in Serie A) on Sunday. The expected starting goaltenders will be David Ospina for Napoli and Antonio Mirante for AS Roma. The Blues are at +104 while AS Roma are at +195. The total opens at 3.

Napoli stepped onto the pitch against AC Milan in their last matchup and took a loss by a final of 3-1. Napoli attempted 25 dribbles in this match and successfully completed 12 of those dribbles for a rate of 48.0%. When discussing the passing game, they finished with a 89.6% passes received percentage by converting 559 of the 624 targeted passes in their last game. In terms of shooting accuracy, Napoli walked away from the pitch at a 36.8% clip by putting 7 shots on target out of 19 total shots. Napoli averages 2.29 goals per 90 (16 goals in total) and have tallied 12 assists in all matches for the season.

Dries Mertens is a player who should impact this matchup for Napoli. Mertens has had a starting assignment in 354 matchups during his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.51 G/90. The forward from Belgium has totaled 178 goals in 31,651 professional minutes played. He has 116 assists while accumulating 51 yellow cards in his career. One more player who could decide who wins is Hirving Lozano, the forward hailing from Mexico. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 36 times so far in his pro soccer career while he has scored 70 goals. Lozano has been on the field for 14,390 mins during 166 starting assignments and has been handed a total of 30 yellow card cautions. He scores 0.44 G/90 thus far in his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Napoli is David Ospina. Ospina (104-62-85 record in his career) has recorded 85 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.6% shutout percentage. The keeper from Colombia has had 1,066 shots attempted at him in 253 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.15 (288 total goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of .734. Ospina has defended the goal for a total of 22,531 minutes and has earned 780 saves so far in his pro soccer career.

When they last stepped on the pitch, AS Roma got the victory with a final of 3-0 against Parma. They finished the match by connecting on 667 out of their 729 pass attempts earning a percentage of 91.5%. AS Roma had a 50.0% successful dribble percentage by completing 11 of the 22 dribbles they pursued. AS Roma had 7 shots on goal out of 20 shots tried giving them a 35.0% clip in their last match. With a total of 19 goals and 13 assists for all their matches, AS Roma averages 2.37 goals and 1.62 assists per 90 min.

Jordan Veretout should be able to be counted on for AS Roma. He scores 0.15 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 278 matches during his pro soccer career. The midfielder representing France has totaled 24,428 mins and has earned 40 goals. He has 57 yellow card warnings during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 36 times. Be sure to keep an eye out for Henrikh Mkhitaryan, the forward who represents Armenia. He has tallied 100 goals thus far in his career while helping a teammate on a goal 69 times. Mkhitaryan has earned himself 38 yellow cards in 22,891 minutes played (255 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average in his pro soccer career is 0.39.

Antonio Mirante will look after the net for AS Roma. Mirante has racked up 122 shutouts while seeing 1,836 shots attempted against him in 36,371 career minutes. He has a save percentage of .708 and his shutout rate is 30.0%. He has conceded 1.34 goals per 90 and he has a record of 126-111-166. During his pro soccer career, Mirante has given up 543 goals and has 1,295 saves in 407 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AS Roma (+195)

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