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Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction, 10/17/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/14/2020

Dries Mertens Napoli

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Game: Napoli vs Atalanta

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2020

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (+137) Atalanta (+170)

Stadio San Paolo is the site where Hirving Lozano and Napoli (2-0-0, 5th in Serie A) will play Atalanta (3-0-0, 1st in Serie A) on Saturday. The goalies protecting the net will be David Ospina for Napoli and Marco Sportiello for Atalanta. The Blues are at +137 while the Goddess are at +170. The total is set at 3.5.

Napoli has been able to control possession for 59% of matches while they have success at dribbling 65.6% of the time (7th in the league). They have tried 35 shots at the goal with 16 on target, which comes out to a 45.7% shots on target percentage. Napoli as a team have earned 8 goals on the season, which ranks 4th in Serie A. They have received 1,208 passes on 1,305 targets for the year, which has earned them a receiving percentage of 92.6%.

Hirving Lozano is a player who should be able to impact this match for Napoli. He has totaled 35 assists while earning 29 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career. Lozano has been given a starting assignment in 161 contests during his career while scoring 0.44 goals per 90 mins. The forward hailing from Mexico has accumulated 68 goals in 14,049 minutes played. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Dries Mertens, the forward born in Belgium. Mertens has 31,286 minutes during 349 career starts and has been given 51 yellow cards. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 115 times so far in his career and he has scored 177 total goals. He is averaging 0.51 G/90 in his pro soccer career.

The guy defending the goal for Napoli will be David Ospina. Ospina (102-62-84 mark during his career) has accumulated 84 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.6% clean sheet rate. The keeper from Colombia has faced 1,056 shots tried against him in 250 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.15 (285 total goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of .733. Ospina has played for a total of 22,261 mins and has accumulated 772 saves during his career.

Atalanta has totaled 1,602 targets this season (4th in the league) and they have 1,378 completed passes. They have a receiving percentage of 86.0% and they have controlled possession of the ball 51.7% of the time. The Goddess have successfully dribbled 78.3% of the time on the season while scoring 13 goals. They have connected on 52.1% of their shots on 48 total shots.

Marten de Roon will be someone to watch for Atalanta. He averages 0.07 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 298 matches so far in his pro soccer career. The midfielder from the Netherlands has totaled 26,410 professional minutes and he has scored 20 goals. He has collected 80 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has helped on a goal 19 times. Be sure to keep an eye out for Alejandro Gomez, the forward who is from Argentina. He has accounted for 69 goals in his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 74 different times. Gomez has been given a total of 33 yellow card warnings in 26,134 professional minutes played (307 career starts). His goals per 90 min average in his pro soccer career is 0.24.

Marco Sportiello is expected to look after the net for the Goddess. Sportiello has recorded 46 shutouts while seeing 714 shots against him in 14,887 career minutes. He is the owner of a save percentage of .689 and his shutout rate is currently at 27.7%. He has conceded 1.40 goals per 90 mins while holding a record of 51-42-72. In his pro soccer career, Sportiello has given up 231 goals while earning 488 saves in 166 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Napoli (+137)

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