Spezia vs Fiorentina Prediction, 10/18/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/14/2020

Game: Spezia vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, October 18, 2020

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi in Cesena, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Spezia (+422) Fiorentina (-133)

Stadio Dino Manuzzi is the venue where Emanuel Gyasi and Spezia (1-0-2, 14th in Serie A) will play Fiorentina (1-0-2, 15th in Serie A) on Sunday. The expected starting goalies will be Rafael for Spezia and Bartlomiej Dragowski for Fiorentina. The Eagles are at +422 while Fiorentina are at -133. The total is set at 2.75.

Spezia has controlled possession of the ball for 41.3% of matches while dribbling successfully 65.4% of the time (8th in Serie A). They have launched 20 shots at their opponents goal with 9 on target, which is a 45.0% SOT percentage. Spezia have earned 3 goals on the season, which ranks 15th in the league. Their players have received 968 passes on 1,113 targets this season, which makes their receiving percentage 87.0%.

Emanuel Gyasi is a player who can be a difference maker for Spezia. He has totaled 8 assists while accumulating 16 yellow card cautions during his soccer career. Gyasi has been a starter in 53 outings in his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.22 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from Ghana has earned 11 goals in 4,535 minutes. One more player who could decide who wins is Andrey Galabinov, the forward hailing from Italy. Galabinov has played 12,720 mins during 136 starts and has been handed a total of 16 yellow card warnings. He has assisted on a goal 24 times so far in his career while scoring 63 goals. He is averaging 0.45 goals per 90 minutes in his career.

The man defending the goal for Spezia will be Rafael. Rafael (82-42-60 record in his career) has tallied 52 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 28.4% clean sheet percentage. The keeper from Brazil has faced 811 shots attempted at him in 183 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.32 (242 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save % of .708. Rafael has been on the field for 16,523 minutes and is sitting with 571 stops so far in his career.

Fiorentina has totaled 1,299 pass targets on the season (12th in the league) with 1,181 successful received passes. They have earned a receiving percentage of 90.9% while they control possession of the ball 49.3% of the time. The Purples have successfully dribbled 67.4% of the time so far this year while tallying 5 goals. They have been able to connect on 31.3% of their SOT out of 48 shots.

Christian Kouame should be able to be counted on for Fiorentina. He is averaging 0.28 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 83 matches during his career. The forward from Côte d'Ivoire has totaled 7,633 mins while he has scored 24 goals. He has tallied 12 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 17 times. You should also watch out for Gaetano Castrovilli, the defender hailing from Poland. Castrovilli has been given a total of 18 yellow cards in 6,756 professional minutes played (74 starting assignments). His G/90 average so far in his career is 0.13. He has accumulated 10 goals during his career while assisting on a goal 7 times.

Bartlomiej Dragowski is expected to look after the goal for the Purples. Dragowski has racked up 21 clean sheets while defending 431 shots against him in 8,002 minutes throughout his career. He has a save percentage of .689 and his clean sheet rate is 24.1%. He has surrendered 1.62 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 26-22-40. Thus far in his career, Dragowski has conceded 144 goals while he has accumulated 298 saves in 87 starts.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Spezia (+422)

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Spezia vs Fiorentina Prediction, 10/18/2020 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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