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Sporting KC vs Nashville SC Prediction, 10/11/2020 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/10/2020

Hany Mukhtar Nashville SC

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Game: Sporting KC vs Nashville SC

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2020

Location: Children's Mercy Park in Kansas City, KS

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (-178) Nashville (+491)

Dax McCarty and Nashville SC (4-6-5, 10th in the Eastern Conference) travel to Children's Mercy Park on Sunday where they'll take on Sporting KC (8-2-5, 3rd in the Western Conference). The starting goalkeepers will be Tim Melia for Sporting KC and Joe Willis for Nashville SC. The moneyline on this game has Sporting KC priced at -178 and Nashville SC are at +491. The over/under has been set at 3.

Sporting KC as a team have earned 26 goals for the season, which ranks them 7th in the league. They have launched 220 shots at the goal with 63 on target, which comes out to a 28.6% SOT percentage. Kansas City has controlled possession of the ball for 50.7% of contests while they have success at dribbling 59.7% of the time (13th in the league). Their players have been on the receiving end of 5,612 passes on 6,393 targets on the season, earning them a receiving percentage of 87.8%.

Khiry Shelton is a guy who should impact this matchup for Kansas City. He has totaled 12 assists while accumulating 5 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career. Shelton has had a starting assignment in 54 matches in his MLS career and he has earned 0.20 G/90. The forward who was born in the United States has accumulated 12 goals in 5,308 professional minutes played. Another guy who should impact this match is Johnny Russell, the forward who hails from Scotland. He has assisted on a goal 48 times so far in his MLS career and he has scored 90 total goals. Russell has played 25,647 mins in 289 starts and has been given 26 yellow cards. He has an average of 0.32 goals per 90 mins so far in his MLS career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Sporting KC will be Tim Melia. Melia (74-47-64 record in his MLS career) has 56 shutouts, which leaves him with a 30.4% clean sheet rate. The goalie from the United States has had 799 shots tried at him in 184 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.28 (235 goals conceded) and he has earned a save percentage of .720. Melia has played for 16,523 mins and is sitting with 574 saves in his career.

Nashville SC have had success dribbling 61.5% of the time this season while collecting 11 goals. They have earned a receiving percentage of 87.9% and they control possession of the ball 45.3% of the time. Nashville has 6,282 pass targets on the year (22nd in MLS) to go along with 5,522 completed passes. They have been able to complete 31.1% of their SOT on 177 total shots.

Dax McCarty should be able to be counted on for Nashville. The midfielder who is from the United States has 30,504 professional minutes while scoring 21 goals. He has accumulated 44 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 45 times. He scores 0.06 goals per 90 minutes and has started 75 games during his MLS career. Be sure to keep an eye out for Hany Mukhtar, the forward from Germany. He has earned 26 goals during his MLS career while helping on a goal 27 different times. Mukhtar has been given 18 yellow card warnings in 10,583 mins (117 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 minute average during his MLS career is 0.22.

Joe Willis will be residing in front of the net for Nashville. During his MLS career, Willis has given up 214 goals while he has totaled 447 stops in 143 starts. He has surrendered 1.47 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 48-39-58. He has earned a save % of .697 and his clean sheet rate sits at 22.4%. Willis has totaled 32 clean sheets while he has defended 647 shots attempted against him in 13,059 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (-178)

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