Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, 11/28/2020 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/25/2020

Game: Valencia vs Atlético Madrid

Date: Saturday, November 28, 2020

Location: Mestalla Stadium in Valencia, Spain

TV: beIN Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Valencia (+290) Atlético Madrid (-105)

Joao Felix and Atlético Madrid (6-2-0, 2nd in La Liga) are headed to Mestalla Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on Valencia (3-3-4, 9th in La Liga). The men protecting the net will be Jaume Domenech for Valencia and Jan Oblak for Atlético Madrid. The moneyline on this game has Valencia priced at +290 and the Red and Whites are at -105. The O/U opens at 2.5.

Valencia took the field against Alaves in their last matchup and finished with a draw by a score of 2-2. Valencia attempted 22 dribbles in this match and completed 18 of those attempts for a rate of 81.8%. In the passing game, they ended up with a 84.1% rate by converting 456 of the 542 targeted passes in their last match. In regard to shooting accuracy, Valencia walked away from the pitch at a 35.7% rate by putting 5 shots on target out of 14 total shots. Valencia averages 1.60 goals per 90 min (16 total goals) and have accumulated 10 assists in all matches this season.

Maxi Gomez is a guy who should impact this matchup for Valencia. He has accounted for 11 assists while accumulating 32 yellow card warnings in his career. Gomez has been in the starting lineup in 145 matchups so far in his career and tallies 0.51 G/90. The forward from Uruguay has recorded 72 goals in 12,791 professional minutes. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Kevin Gameiro, the forward hailing from France. He has assisted on a goal 39 times during his pro soccer career while he has scored 146 goals. Gameiro has 26,193 mins in 285 career starting assignments and has been given a total of 9 yellow card cautions. He currently averages 0.50 goals per 90 mins so far in his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Valencia will be Jaume Domenech. Domenech (20-15-18 record in his career) has tallied 15 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 28.3% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper born in Spain has faced 258 shots sent his way in 53 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.25 (67 goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of .752. Domenech has seen the field for a total of 4,834 minutes and has earned 193 stops in his career.

For their last match, Atlético Madrid walked away with a victory by a final of 1-0 against Barcelona. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 477 of the 549 passing attempts earning a percentage of 86.9%. Atlético Madrid ended the game with a 68.8% successful dribble rate by completing 11 out of the 16 dribbles they tried. Atlético Madrid converted 2 shots on target out of 10 shots attempted which gave them a 20.0% clip when they last stepped onto the pitch. With a total of 18 goals and 14 assists in all their matches, Atlético Madrid has an average of 2.25 goals and 1.75 assists per 90.

Joao Felix should be someone to watch for Atlético Madrid. The forward born in Portugal has earned 4,037 mins and has scored 26 goals. He has accounted for 9 yellow cards so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 10 times. He sports an average of 0.58 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 48 games so far in his pro soccer career. Be sure to watch out for Angel Correa, the forward hailing from Argentina. He has collected 26 goals so far in his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 29 times. Correa has been handed 29 yellow cards in 8,954 professional minutes (93 starting assignments). His goals per 90 minute average so far in his pro soccer career is 0.26.

Jan Oblak will reside in front of the net for Atlético Madrid. Oblak has accumulated 132 shutouts while defending 832 shots attempted against him in 23,125 mins in his career. He has earned a save % of .778 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 51.2%. He has given up 0.77 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 145-63-48. During his professional soccer career, Oblak has given up 197 goals and has accounted for 648 stops in 258 starts.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Valencia (+290)

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Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, 11/28/2020 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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