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AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction, 3/14/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/8/2021

Dries Mertens Napoli

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Game: AC Milan vs Napoli

Date: Sunday, March 14, 2021

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: AC Milan (+142) Napoli (+218)

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is the venue where Franck Kessie and AC Milan (17-5-4, 2nd in Serie A) will play Napoli (15-2-8, 6th in Serie A) on Sunday. The starting goalies will be Gianluigi Donnarumma for AC Milan and David Ospina for Napoli. AC Milan are at +142 while the Blues are at +218. The total opens at 2.75.

AC Milan stepped onto the pitch against Hellas Verona in their most recent match and walked away with a win by a score of 2-0. AC Milan attempted 11 dribbles in this contest and completed 8 of the dribbles for a rate of 72.7%. When discussing the passing game, they finished this match with a 77.4% passes received percentage by connecting on 333 of the 430 pass targets in their last match. In terms of shooting accuracy, AC Milan finished at a 27.3% rate by landing 3 SoT out of 11 total shots. AC Milan has an average of 1.88 goals per 90 minutes (49 total goals) and have earned 30 assists in all matches for this campaign.

Franck Kessie is a guy who should be able to impact this match for AC Milan. He has accounted for 11 assists while tallying 38 yellow cards during his soccer career. Kessie has had a starting assignment in 184 matches in his pro soccer career while he scores 0.20 goals per 90. The defender representing Serbia has accumulated 36 goals scored in 16,216 minutes played. Another player who should impact this match is Rafael Leao, the midfielder representing Croatia. Leao has been on the field for 4,234 minutes in 45 career starts and has earned himself a total of 8 yellow cards. He has assisted on a goal 10 times in his career while scoring 20 total goals. He is currently averaging 0.43 goals per 90 minutes so far in his career.

The man who is expected to protect the net for AC Milan is Gianluigi Donnarumma. Donnarumma has played for 18,011 minutes and has 572 stops so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.08 (217 goals surrendered) and he has earned a save % of 74.0. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 773 shots tried at him in 203 career starts. Donnarumma (101-52-48 record in his career) has accumulated 66 clean sheets, which gives him a 32.5% clean sheet percentage.

The last time they took the pitch, Napoli took home the win by a final score of 3-1 against Bologna. They finished the contest by converting 345 out of their 404 attempted passes for a percentage of 85.4%. Napoli finished with a 66.7% successful dribble percentage by completing 12 out of the 18 dribbles they tried. Napoli converted 7 shots on target out of 14 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 50.0% clip in their last outing. With 54 goals and 37 assists for all their games, Napoli sports an average of 2.16 goals and 1.48 assists per 90.

Matteo Politano should provide a spark for Napoli. The forward born in Italy has earned 15,692 professional minutes and he has scored 45 goals. He has 23 yellow cards in his career and has helped on a goal 27 times. He scores 0.26 goals per 90 mins and has started 181 contests during his soccer career. You should also keep an eye on Lorenzo Insigne, the forward born in Italy. Insigne has earned himself a total of 25 yellow card cautions in 23,699 mins (274 starting assignments). His G/90 average in his career is 0.37. He has collected 97 goals in his career while helping a teammate on a goal 78 different times.

David Ospina is expected to look after the net for Napoli. During his professional soccer career, Ospina has allowed 297 goals while tallying 788 stops in 262 starting assignments. He has given up 1.15 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 109-62-89. He has earned a save percentage of 73.1 and his shutout rate is currently at 33.6%. Ospina has totaled 88 clean sheets while seeing 1,081 shots attempted against him in 23,341 mins in his career.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Napoli (+218)

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