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Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction, 1/23/2021 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/21/2021

Karim Benzema Real Madrid

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Game: Alaves vs Real Madrid

Date: Saturday, January 23, 2021

Location: Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

TV: beIN Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Alaves (+609) Real Madrid (-227)

Mendizorrotza Stadium is the site where Lucas Perez and Alaves (4-6-9, 17th in La Liga) will take on Real Madrid (11-4-3, 2nd in La Liga) on Saturday. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Fernando Pacheco for Alaves and Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid. The moneyline on this contest has Alaves coming in at +609 and the Meringues are at -227. The over/under has been set at 2.75.

Alaves played Sevilla in their last game and ended up losing by a score of 2-1. Alaves attempted 11 dribbles in this match and converted 4 of the tries for a rate of 36.4%. When talking about passing the ball, they ended with a 69.9% passes received percentage by converting 246 out of their 352 pass targets last contest. In terms of shooting accuracy, Alaves finished the game at a 18.2% rate by putting 2 shots on target of 11 shots. Alaves averages 0.84 goals per 90 (16 total goals) and have 9 assists in all contests for this campaign.

Lucas Perez is a player who should be able to impact this game for Alaves. Perez has been given a starting assignment in 204 matchups during his soccer career while scoring 0.37 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Spain has tallied 75 goals in 18,107 mins. He has 40 assists while tallying 34 yellow cards during his soccer career. One more guy who should impact this match is Joselu, the forward born in Germany. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 13 times during his pro soccer career and he has scored 55 total goals. Joselu has accumulated 15,888 mins in 169 starting assignments and has been handed a total of 30 yellow cards. He has an average of 0.31 G/90 for his pro soccer career.

The man protecting the net for Alaves will be Fernando Pacheco. Pacheco (85-58-91 mark in his career) has recorded 71 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 30.2% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper born in Spain has had 956 shots tried at him in 235 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.21 (282 total goals given up) and he has a save % of .732. Pacheco has played for a total of 21,042 mins and has tallied 696 stops during his pro soccer career.

The last time they took the pitch, Real Madrid earned the draw by finishing with a tally of 0-0 against Osasuna. Real Madrid finished the match with a 88.2% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 15 of the 17 dribbles they attempted. They finished the contest by connecting on 726 out of their 809 passing attempts for a percentage of 89.7%. Real Madrid had 1 shot on goal out of their 8 shots attempted earning them a 12.5% rate in their last outing. Having earned a total of 27 goals and 21 assists in all matches, Real Madrid averages 1.50 goals and 1.17 assists per 90 minutes.

Toni Kroos should be someone to watch for Real Madrid. The midfielder born in Germany has been on the field for 28,249 minutes while scoring 39 goals. He has 50 yellow cards in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 77 times. He scores 0.12 goals per 90 mins and has started 323 contests thus far in his career. Make sure to keep an eye out for Karim Benzema, the forward who is from France. He has accounted for 220 goals during his soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 99 times. Benzema has been given a total of 9 yellow card warnings in 32,875 professional minutes played (384 starts). His G/90 average thus far in his career is 0.60.

Thibaut Courtois will be looking after the net for Real Madrid. Courtois has accumulated 156 shutouts and defended 1,130 shots against him in 31,944 career mins. He has earned a save percentage of .725 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 43.7%. He has surrendered 0.92 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a mark of 213-75-66. During his professional soccer career, Courtois has allowed 327 goals while earning 818 stops in 357 starts.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alaves (+609)

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