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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, 4/21/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/19/2021

Ollie Watkins Aston Villa

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Game: Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Date: Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+500) Manchester City (-213)

Villa Park is the site where Ollie Watkins and Aston Villa (13-5-12, 11th in the EPL) will play Manchester City (23-5-4, 1st in the EPL) on Wednesday. The expected starting goaltenders will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Ederson for Manchester City. Aston Villa are at +500 while the Citizens are priced at -213. The over/under is set at 2.75.

Aston Villa faced off with Liverpool in their most recent match and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 2-1. Aston Villa attempted 19 dribbles in this match and were able to convert 13 of those attempts for a percentage of 68.4%. In regard to passing, they finished this match with a 71.0% received passes rate by connecting on 230 out of their 324 targeted passes in their last outing. Concerning shot accuracy, Aston Villa ended this match at a 55.6% rate by putting 5 shots on target of 9 shots. Aston Villa averages 1.37 goals per 90 (41 goals in total) and have earned 33 assists in all competitions for the year.

Ollie Watkins is a player who should impact this matchup for Aston Villa. Watkins has been a starter in 205 contests in his career and he accounts for 0.38 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from England has tallied 78 goals in 18,622 mins. He has totaled 23 assists while earning 28 yellow cards in his career. One more player who could decide who wins is Bertrand Traore, the forward born in Burkina Faso. Traore has been on the pitch for 12,246 mins during 145 starts and has been given a total of 24 yellow cards. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 19 times in his pro soccer career while scoring 53 goals. He currently averages 0.39 goals per 90 minutes for his career.

The guy protecting the net for Aston Villa will be Emiliano Martinez. Martinez (37-23-39 record in his career) has accumulated 35 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 35.4% shutout rate. The goalkeeper hailing from Argentina has had 459 shots tried at him in 99 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.2 (123 total goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of 74.7. Martinez has seen the field for a total of 8,959 mins and has earned 339 saves in his pro soccer career.

For their last match, Manchester City walked away with a victory by a final of 2-1 against Borussia Dortmund. Manchester City ended the game with a 73.3% successful dribble rate by connecting on 11 out of the 15 dribbles they tried. They finished this game by connecting on 669 of the 714 passes they attempted for a percentage of 93.7%. Manchester City connected on 4 shots tried out of their 16 shots tried which had them sitting at a 25.0% rate when they last stepped onto the pitch. Having accumulated 66 goals and 42 assists in all matches, Manchester City sports an average of 2.06 goals and 1.31 assists per 90 minutes.

Ilkay Gundogan will be someone to watch for Manchester City. The midfielder representing Germany has been on the field for 19,577 minutes while scoring 43 goals. He has totaled 26 yellow cards during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 23 times. He averages 0.20 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 221 matches in his pro soccer career. You should also watch out for Riyad Mahrez, the forward representing Algeria. He has 75 goals during his soccer career while assisting on a goal 60 times. Mahrez has earned himself a total of 12 yellow card cautions in 20,769 professional minutes played (237 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average in his career is 0.33.

Ederson will look after the net for Manchester City. In his pro soccer career, Ederson has surrendered 163 goals while earning 400 saves in 213 starting assignments. He has given up 0.77 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 146-34-33. He has a save percentage of 73.1 and his clean sheet rate sits at 45.5%. Ederson has recorded 97 clean sheets and has defended 550 shots tried against him in 19,052 minutes throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+500)

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