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Atalanta vs Spezia Prediction, 3/12/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/8/2021

Matteo Ricci Spezia

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Game: Atalanta vs Spezia

Date: Friday, March 12, 2021

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Atalanta (-465) Spezia (+1129)

Robin Gosens and Atalanta (14-7-4, 5th in Serie A) host Spezia (6-8-12, 14th in Serie A) at Gewiss Stadium on Friday. The starting goalies will be Pierluigi Gollini for Atalanta and Jeroen Zoet for Spezia. The line on this game has Atalanta priced at -465 and the Eagles are at +1129. The O/U has been set at 3.25.

Atalanta took the field against Crotone in their last matchup and walked away with a win by a score of 5-1. In the passing game, they ended the game with a 85.8% passes received rate by connecting on 567 out of their 661 pass attempts in their last match. Atalanta attempted 20 dribbles in this contest and converted 10 of the attempts for a percentage of 50.0%. In regard to shooting accuracy, Atalanta ended this match at a 52.4% rate by hitting 11 SoT out of 21 shots. Atalanta averages 2.36 goals per 90 minutes (59 total goals) and have accounted for 41 assists in all competitions for this campaign.

Robin Gosens is a guy who should be able to impact this match for Atalanta. He has totaled 22 assists while earning 24 yellow cards during his career. Gosens has been a starter in 175 outings in his career and tallies 0.16 G/90. The defender hailing from Germany has recorded 28 goals in 15,442 professional minutes played. One more guy who could decide who wins is Luis Muriel, the forward who is from Colombia. He has helped on a goal 33 times during his pro soccer career while scoring 90 total goals. Muriel has totaled 15,664 minutes during 169 starting assignments and has been given 28 yellow card cautions. He is averaging 0.52 goals per 90 mins during his soccer career.

The man protecting the net for Atalanta will be Pierluigi Gollini. Gollini has played for 11,336 minutes and is sitting with 321 saves in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.21 (152 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 69.5. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has seen 463 shots tried at him in 127 career starting assignments. Gollini (54-43-31 mark during his career) has accounted for 30 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 23.6% clean sheet percentage.

When they last took the field, Spezia finished locked up with a final of 1-1 against Benevento. They finished this game by completing 525 out of their 607 passes they attempted for a percentage of 86.5%. Spezia finished with a 89.5% successful dribble percentage by completing 17 out of the 19 dribbles they attempted. Spezia had 3 shots on target out of their 12 shots attempted which had them at a 25.0% clip in their last game. Having accumulated 33 goals and 22 assists in all their games, Spezia has an average of 1.27 goals and 0.85 assists per 90.

Emanuel Gyasi will need to provide a lift for Spezia. He averages 0.21 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 73 matches so far in his career. The forward representing Ghana has played 6,377 professional minutes while scoring 15 goals. He has totaled 19 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 11 times. Be sure to watch out for Andrey Galabinov, the forward born in Italy. He has earned 63 goals thus far in his career while helping on a goal 25 times. Galabinov has been handed a total of 16 yellow card cautions in 12,897 professional minutes (137 starting assignments). His G/90 average so far in his career is 0.44.

Jeroen Zoet will look after the net for Spezia. Zoet has accumulated 91 shutouts while defending 951 shots tried against him in 25,215 minutes in his career. He holds a save % of 72.2 and his clean sheet rate is currently 32.4%. He has allowed 1.08 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 172-51-57. In his pro soccer career, Zoet has given up 302 goals while earning 678 saves in 281 starts.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Spezia (+1129)

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