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Atlético Madrid vs Alaves Prediction, 3/21/2021 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/16/2021

Joselu Alaves

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Game: Atlético Madrid vs Alaves

Date: Sunday, March 21, 2021

Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid, Spain

TV: beIN Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Atlético Madrid (-269) Alaves (+828)

Lucas Perez and Alaves (5-8-14, 18th in La Liga) travel to Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday where they'll meet Atlético Madrid (19-6-2, 1st in La Liga). The goalies protecting the net are Jan Oblak for Atlético Madrid and Fernando Pacheco for Alaves. Alaves are priced at +828 while the Red and Whites are at -269. The O/U opens at 2.25.

Atlético Madrid stepped onto the pitch against Getafe in their last match and wrapped it up with a draw by a score of 0-0. In the passing game, they finished with a 87.0% received passes rate by completing 536 out of their 616 pass targets last contest. Atlético Madrid attempted 16 dribbles in this contest and converted 6 of the attempts for a rate of 37.5%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Atlético Madrid wrapped this game up at a 53.3% rate by putting 8 SoT of 15 total shots. Atlético Madrid averages 1.78 g/90 (48 total goals) and have accounted for 38 assists in all matches for the season.

Luis Suarez is a player who should be able to impact this match for Atlético Madrid. He has totaled 140 assists while accumulating 91 yellow card warnings so far in his career. Suarez has been a starter in 440 games so far in his career and he has earned 0.75 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Uruguay has earned 324 goals scored in 38,895 professional minutes. Another player who should impact this match is Joao Felix, the forward representing Portugal. Felix has been on the pitch for 4,834 minutes during 55 starts and has been given 13 yellow cards. He has helped on a goal 12 times so far in his career while he has scored 28 goals. He averages 0.52 goals per 90 minutes during his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Atlético Madrid is Jan Oblak. Oblak (158-67-50 mark in his career) has accumulated 139 shutouts, which has earned him a 50.2% clean sheet rate. The goalie born in Slovenia has faced 887 shots tried against him in 277 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.8 (213 total goals conceded) and his save % is 77.5%. Oblak has seen the field for 24,835 minutes and has 690 saves in his pro soccer career.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Alaves weren't able to secure a win with a final of 1-1 against Cadiz. Alaves had a 72.7% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 8 out of the 11 dribbles they attempted. They wrapped up this outing by completing 293 of the 370 passes they tried earning a rate of 79.2%. Alaves converted 1 shot on target out of their 8 shots tried which had them at a 12.5% clip in their last game. With a total of 22 goals and 12 assists in all matches, Alaves averages 0.81 goals and 0.44 assists per 90.

Lucas Perez will be someone to watch for Alaves. The forward hailing from Spain has 18,472 professional minutes while scoring 75 goals. He has accumulated 35 yellow cards in his career and has assisted on a goal 41 times. He is averaging 0.37 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 207 contests during his pro soccer career. Be sure to watch out for Joselu, the forward representing Germany. He has scored 59 goals thus far in his career while helping on a goal 13 times. Joselu has been handed a total of 30 yellow cards in 16,573 mins (177 starts). His goals per 90 minute average in his career is 0.32.

Fernando Pacheco will look after the goal for Alaves. Pacheco has accumulated 73 clean sheets and has defended 985 shots attempted against him in 21,762 mins throughout his career. He holds a save percentage of 72.4 and his shutout rate sits at 30.0%. He has given up 1.24 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 86-60-96. So far in his career, Pacheco has allowed 300 goals and has racked up 709 stops in 243 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Alaves (+828)

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