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Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, 1/27/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/26/2021

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Game: Burnley vs Aston Villa

Date: Wednesday, January 27, 2021

Location: Turf Moor in Lancashire, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Burnley (+200) Aston Villa (+137)

Turf Moor is the site where Ashley Westwood and Burnley (5-4-9, 15th in the EPL) will take on Aston Villa (9-2-6, 8th in the EPL) on Wednesday. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Nick Pope for Burnley and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa. Aston Villa are at at +137 while the Clarets are priced at +200. The total has been set at 2.75.

Burnley played Liverpool in their last game and earned the victory with a final of 1-0. In sharing the ball, they ended up with a 73.1% passes received rate by completing 182 out of their 249 passing targets in their last match. Burnley attempted 5 dribbles in this outing and were successful in 2 of those dribbles for a percentage of 40.0%. In relation to shooting accuracy, Burnley walked away from the pitch at a 37.5% rate by hitting 3 shots on target of 16 shots. Burnley is averaging 0.50 goals per 90 minutes (9 goals in total) and have accumulated 4 assists in all games this season.

Ashley Westwood is a guy who should be able to impact this match for Burnley. He has totaled 43 assists while earning 58 yellow card warnings so far in his career. Westwood has been given a starting assignment in 360 outings in his career and he scores 0.07 goals per 90 minutes. The midfielder born in England has totaled 24 goals scored in 31,998 mins played. One more player who should impact this match is Chris Wood, the forward hailing from New Zealand. He has assisted on a goal 32 times during his pro soccer career while scoring 124 goals. Wood has been on the pitch for 24,617 minutes during 277 starting assignments and has been handed 9 yellow card warnings. He is currently averaging 0.45 goals per 90 minutes for his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Burnley is Nick Pope. Pope has been on the pitch for a total of 16,119 mins and has 569 stops during his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.04 (186 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .764. The goalie hailing from England has faced 746 shots sent his way in 178 starts. Pope (68-53-58 record during his career) has accumulated 73 shutouts, which gives him a 41.0% shutout rate.

When they last played, Aston Villa took home the win by a final score of 2-0 against Newcastle United. Aston Villa had a 57.1% successful dribble percentage by converting 8 of the 14 dribbles they attempted. They wrapped up this contest by connecting on 510 of the 578 passing tries earning a percentage of 88.2%. Aston Villa converted 5 shots attempted out of 14 shots attempted giving them a 35.7% clip in their last match. With a total of 30 goals and 23 assists in all matches, Aston Villa is averaging 1.76 goals and 1.35 assists per 90 minutes.

Ollie Watkins will need to be on top of his game for Aston Villa. He currently averages 0.38 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 192 contests during his soccer career. The forward born in England has 17,452 professional minutes while scoring 73 goals. He has totaled 27 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 22 times. Be sure to keep an eye out for Jack Grealish, the forward representing England. He has scored 33 goals so far in his career while helping on a goal 33 different times. Grealish has been handed a total of 36 yellow card warnings in 15,701 professional minutes played (171 starting assignments). His G/90 average in his career is 0.19.

Emiliano Martinez will be looking after the net for Aston Villa. In his career, Martinez has given up 108 goals while earning 288 stops in 86 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.25 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 33-20-33. He holds a save % of .741 and his clean sheet rate sits at 34.9%. Martinez has accumulated 30 shutouts and has seen 394 shots attempted against him in 7,789 minutes in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Burnley (+200)

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