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Chelsea vs West Brom Prediction, 4/3/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/31/2021

Timo Werner Chelsea

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Game: Chelsea vs West Brom

Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-500) West Brom (+1000)

Timo Werner and Chelsea (14-9-6, 4th in the EPL) host West Brom (3-9-17, 19th in the EPL) at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. The goalies expected to start will be Edouard Mendy for Chelsea and Sam Johnstone for West Brom. West Brom are at at +1000 while the Pensioners are at -500. The total has been set at 2.5.

Chelsea faced Atletico Madrid in their most recent match and went home with a win by a final score of 2-0. Chelsea attempted 31 dribbles in this outing and completed 19 of those attempts for a rate of 61.3%. In sharing the ball, they finished this match with a 85.7% passes received rate by connecting on 509 out of their 594 pass targets in their last match. Concerning shot accuracy, Chelsea ended this match at a 31.3% clip by putting 5 SoT of 16 shots. Chelsea averages 1.45 goals per 90 (42 goals in total) and are sitting with 28 assists in all matches for the year.

Timo Werner is a player who should be able to impact this match for Chelsea. Werner has been in the starting lineup in 200 games in his career and he scores 0.49 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Germany has racked up 97 goals in 17,691 minutes played. He has totaled 41 assists while accumulating 12 yellow card warnings during his career. Another player who should impact this match is N'Golo Kante, the midfielder hailing from France. Kante has played 22,284 minutes during 251 starts and has been given 38 yellow cards. He has helped a teammate on a goal 19 times so far in his career while scoring 14 total goals. He scores 0.06 G/90 for his career.

The man who will protect the net for Chelsea will be Edouard Mendy. Mendy has seen the field for 11,533 minutes and has 321 stops during his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.9 (109 goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of 77.6. The goalie from Senegal has faced 415 shots tried against him in 128 career starting assignments. Mendy (41-32-22 mark during his career) has accounted for 57 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 44.5% shutout rate.

When they last took the field, West Brom went home defeated by a final of 1-0 against Crystal Palace. West Brom ended the game with a 50.0% successful dribble rate by completing 10 of the 20 dribbles they attempted. They finished the match by converting 341 of the 429 passing tries for a percentage of 79.5%. West Brom connected on 1 shot on goal out of 12 shots attempted which had them at a 8.3% rate in their last game. With a total of 19 goals and 11 assists in all competitions, West Brom has an average of 0.66 goals and 0.38 assists per 90.

Callum Robinson will be someone to watch for West Brom. He scores 0.29 goals per 90 minutes and has started 145 matches so far in his career. The forward representing England has totaled 12,587 professional minutes while scoring 40 goals. He has collected 10 yellow card cautions thus far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 21 times. Make sure to watch out for Matheus Pereira, the forward born in Brazil. He has earned 24 goals in his career while helping a teammate on a goal 29 different times. Pereira has been handed a total of 20 yellow cards in 9,206 professional minutes played (106 starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average so far in his career is 0.23.

Sam Johnstone is expected to look after the net for West Brom. So far in his pro soccer career, Johnstone has conceded 317 goals and has totaled 760 stops in 260 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.22 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 104-77-79. He has a save percentage of 71.5 and his shutout rate sits at 30.8%. Johnstone has racked up 80 clean sheets while he has seen 1,062 shots against him in 23,400 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chelsea (-500)

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