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Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction, 5/1/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/26/2021

Richarlison Everton

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Game: Everton vs Aston Villa

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Goodison Park in Liverpool, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Everton (+110) Aston Villa (+250)

Ollie Watkins and Aston Villa (13-6-13, 11th in the EPL) are headed to Goodison Park on Saturday where they'll meet Everton (15-7-10, 8th in the EPL). The goaltenders protecting the net are Jordan Pickford for Everton and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa. The line on this contest has Everton priced at +110 and the Villains are at +250. The total is set at 2.5.

Everton faced Arsenal in their most recent game and notched a win by a score of 1-0. When discussing the passing game, they ended with a 81.7% received passes percentage by completing 366 of the 448 pass targets in their last match. Everton tried 8 dribbles in this matchup and were successful in 6 of those attempts for a rate of 75.0%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Everton ended this match at a 12.5% rate by putting 1 shot on target of 8 shots. Everton has an average of 1.31 g/90 (42 total goals) and have tallied 29 assists in all contests for the year.

Richarlison is a player who should impact this matchup for Everton. He has accounted for 13 assists while accumulating 26 yellow card cautions thus far in his career. Richarlison has started 159 matches in his career and accounts for 0.30 goals per 90 mins. The forward hailing from Brazil has totaled 46 goals scored in 13,631 professional minutes played. One more guy who should impact this match is Dominic Calvert-Lewin, the forward who is from England. He has assisted on a goal 9 times in his pro soccer career and he has scored 43 goals. Calvert-Lewin has accumulated 10,235 mins in 108 starting assignments and has earned himself a total of 24 yellow card cautions. He is averaging 0.38 goals per 90 during his pro soccer career.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Everton is Jordan Pickford. Pickford has seen the field for 25,554 mins and has 842 stops in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.4 (392 goals given up) and he has a save percentage of 68.9. The keeper from England has seen 1,220 shots tried at him in 286 career starting assignments. Pickford (92-74-118 mark during his soccer career) has recorded 79 shutouts, which has earned him a 27.6% clean sheet percentage.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Aston Villa weren't able to secure a win with a final of 2-2 against West Brom. Aston Villa earned a 50.0% successful dribble rate by completing 11 out of the 22 dribbles they attempted. They wrapped up this match by converting 472 out of their 528 attempted passes for a rate of 89.4%. Aston Villa converted 10 shots tried out of their 23 shots tried giving them a 43.5% clip in their last game. Having earned a total of 44 goals and 34 assists for all their games, Aston Villa is averaging 1.37 goals and 1.06 assists per 90.

Ollie Watkins should be someone to watch for Aston Villa. He currently averages 0.37 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 207 matches in his career. The forward born in England has been on the pitch for 18,802 professional minutes while scoring 78 goals. He has collected 28 yellow cards in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 24 times. You should also keep an eye on Bertrand Traore, the forward representing Burkina Faso. He has accumulated 53 goals so far in his career while helping a teammate on a goal 19 different times. Traore has been given 24 yellow card warnings in 12,409 mins (147 starts). His G/90 average during his soccer career is 0.38.

Emiliano Martinez will be looking after the goal for Aston Villa. Martinez has accumulated 35 clean sheets and has defended 465 shots against him in 9,139 mins in his career. He holds a save % of 74.4 and his shutout rate is currently 34.7%. He has conceded 1.25 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 37-24-40. In his career, Martinez has allowed 127 goals and has earned 343 saves in 101 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Everton (+110)

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