Lazio vs Crotone Prediction, 3/12/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/8/2021

Game: Lazio vs Crotone

Date: Friday, March 12, 2021

Location: Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lazio (-430) Crotone (+1051)

Vladimir Golemic and Crotone (4-3-19, 20th in Serie A) travel to Stadio Olimpico on Friday where they'll meet Lazio (13-4-8, 7th in Serie A). The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Pepe Reina for Lazio and Alex Cordaz for Crotone. Lazio are at -430 while Crotone are priced at +1051. The over/under has been set at 3.25.

Lazio played Juventus in their last matchup and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 3-1. Lazio tried 16 dribbles in this outing and completed 8 of the tries for a percentage of 50.0%. When talking about passing the ball, they ended with a 86.8% received passes percentage by connecting on 446 out of their 514 targeted passes in their last outing. Regarding shot accuracy, Lazio finished the game at a 26.7% clip by hitting 4 SoT out of 15 total shots. Lazio averages 1.56 goals per 90 (39 goals in total) and have accounted for 26 assists in all competitions this season.

Ciro Immobile is a guy who should impact this matchup for Lazio. He has totaled 41 assists while accumulating 50 yellow card warnings during his soccer career. Immobile has been a starter in 278 games during his pro soccer career and tallies 0.68 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from Italy has recorded 184 goals in 24,510 professional minutes played. Another player who could decide the outcome is Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, the midfielder representing Spain. Milinkovic-Savic has earned 17,037 minutes during 194 starts and has been given 47 yellow card warnings. He has helped a teammate on a goal 27 times during his soccer career while he has scored 42 goals. He is currently averaging 0.22 G/90 for his career.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Lazio will be Pepe Reina. Reina has defended the goal for 54,042 minutes and has 1,737 saves in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.99 (592 goals given up) and he has earned a save percentage of 75.0. The keeper born in Spain has seen 2,321 shots tried against him in 602 career starting assignments. Reina (318-150-133 record during his soccer career) has tallied 240 clean sheets, which gives him a 39.9% clean sheet percentage.

The last time they took the field, Crotone got the victory with a final of 4-2 against Torino. Crotone finished with a 66.7% successful dribble rate by converting 10 out of the 15 dribbles they tried. They finished the match by connecting on 264 of the 333 passing attempts for a rate of 79.3%. Crotone converted 6 shots on target out of their 17 shots attempted which had them sitting at a 35.3% clip in their last game. With 27 goals and 17 assists in all their contests, Crotone averages 1.04 goals and 0.65 assists per 90 minutes.

Vladimir Golemic will need to provide a lift for Crotone. The defender who is from Slovakia has been on the pitch for 15,744 mins and he has scored 10 goals. He has accumulated 46 yellow card cautions during his soccer career and has helped on a goal 6 times. He is averaging 0.06 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 176 outings thus far in his career. Make sure to watch out for Simy, the forward representing Nigeria. He has scored 63 goals so far in his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 11 different times. Simy has been handed 15 yellow cards in 11,223 mins (116 career starts). His G/90 average in his pro soccer career is 0.51.

Alex Cordaz is expected to look after the goal for Crotone. During his professional soccer career, Cordaz has conceded 421 goals and has racked up 888 saves in 328 starts. He has surrendered 1.29 goals per 90 mins and he has a mark of 107-85-135. He sports a save % of 69.1 and his clean sheet rate sits at 22.6%. Cordaz has earned 74 clean sheets while seeing 1,300 shots attempted against him in 29,392 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lazio (-430)

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Lazio vs Crotone Prediction, 3/12/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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