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Leeds United vs Brentford Prediction, 12/5/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/3/2021

Patrick Bamford Leeds United

Game: Leeds United vs Brentford

Date: Sunday, December 5, 2021

Location: Elland Road in Leeds, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Leeds United (+110) Brentford (+240)

Sergi Canos and Brentford (4-4-6, 12th in the EPL) go to Elland Road on Sunday where they'll take on Leeds United (3-6-5, 16th in the EPL). The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Illan Meslier for Leeds United and Alvaro Fernandez for Brentford. The moneyline on this matchup has Leeds United priced at +110 and the Bees are priced at +240. The total has been set at 2.5.

Leeds United played Crystal Palace in their last match and walked away with a win by a score of 1-0. In sharing the ball, they ended up with a 86.3% received passes percentage by converting 397 of the 460 targeted passes last contest. Leeds United tried 25 dribbles in this game and were successful in 7 of those dribbles for a rate of 28.0%.

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In regard to shooting accuracy, Leeds United finished at a 13.3% clip by putting 2 shots on target of 15 shots. Leeds United averages 0.93 goals per 90 (13 goals in total) and have accounted for 8 assists in all contests for the year.

Kalvin Phillips is a player who can be a difference maker for Leeds United. Phillips has been in the starting lineup in 182 matchups during his career and tallies 0.07 goals per 90 minutes. The midfielder representing England has 13 goals scored in 15,902 professional minutes played. He has accounted for 12 assists while tallying 49 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career.

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One more player who should impact this match is Mateusz Klich, the midfielder representing Poland. He has helped a teammate on a goal 41 times so far in his career while scoring 43 goals. Klich has totaled 23,252 mins during 271 starting assignments and has been handed a total of 51 yellow card cautions. He currently averages 0.17 goals per 90 mins thus far in his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Leeds United will be Illan Meslier. Meslier (39-21-27 record in his career) has recorded 30 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 34.5% clean sheet rate. The goalie from France has had 265 shots attempted against him in 87 starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.2 (108 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save percentage of 74.7. Meslier has defended the goal for a total of 7,830 minutes and has accumulated 197 saves during his soccer career.

In their last outing, Brentford took a loss by a final score of 2-0 against Tottenham. They finished the match by completing 430 of the 495 passing tries earning a percentage of 86.9%. Brentford finished the match with a 60.0% successful dribble percentage by completing 3 out of the 5 dribbles they pursued. Brentford converted 2 shots tried out of their 6 shots tried giving them a 33.3% rate when they last stepped onto the pitch. With 16 goals and 9 assists in all their matches, Brentford averages 1.14 goals and 0.64 assists per 90.

Sergi Canos will need to provide a lift for Brentford. The forward representing Spain has earned 11,481 professional minutes and has earned 31 goals. He has accumulated 25 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 27 times. He sports an average of 0.24 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 132 outings in his career. Make sure to watch out for Ivan Toney, the forward representing England. Toney has earned himself a total of 60 yellow card cautions in 19,194 professional minutes (208 starts). His goals per 90 min average during his soccer career is 0.52. He has earned 111 goals in his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 36 times.

Alvaro Fernandez will be residing in front of the net for Brentford. Fernandez has totaled 24 clean sheets while defending 237 shots attempted against him in 7,335 minutes throughout his career. He sports a save percentage of 70.5 and his shutout rate is 29.6%. He has given up 1.19 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 30-17-34. So far in his pro soccer career, Fernandez has surrendered 97 goals while tallying 171 saves in 81 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brentford (+240)

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