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Leeds United vs Brighton Prediction, 1/16/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/15/2021

Mateusz Klich Leeds United

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Game: Leeds United vs Brighton

Date: Saturday, January 16, 2021

Location: Elland Road in Leeds, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Leeds United (+100) Brighton (+220)

Patrick Bamford and Leeds United (7-2-8, 12th in the EPL) play Brighton (2-8-8, 17th in the EPL) at Elland Road on Saturday. The goalkeepers protecting the net are Illan Meslier for Leeds United and Robert Sanchez for Brighton. Brighton are at at +220 while the Whites are priced at +100. The over/under is set at 2.5.

Leeds United took the field against Tottenham in their last match and went home with a loss by a final score of 3-0. In the passing game, they ended with a 83.1% passes received rate by converting 503 of the 605 passing targets last contest. Leeds United tried 23 dribbles in this contest and completed 12 of those tries for a rate of 52.2%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Leeds United finished the game at a 14.3% clip by putting 2 shots on target out of 14 total shots. Leeds United sports an average of 1.71 g/90 (29 total goals) and have accounted for 20 assists in all matches for the year.

Patrick Bamford is one guy you are going to want to keep your eye on for Leeds United. He has accounted for 13 assists while accumulating 19 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career. Bamford has started 181 matchups so far in his career and he has earned 0.50 G/90. The forward born in England has earned 90 goals scored in 16,106 minutes played. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Helder Costa, the forward born in Angola. He has assisted on a goal 25 times so far in his pro soccer career while he has scored 25 total goals. Costa has been on the pitch for 10,753 mins during 123 starts and has been given 14 yellow cards. He is averaging 0.21 goals per 90 mins so far in his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Leeds United will be Illan Meslier. Meslier (27-12-16 record during his soccer career) has tallied 22 clean sheets, which has earned him a 40.0% shutout rate. The goalkeeper hailing from France has faced 115 shots attempted at him in 55 starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.25 (69 goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of .730. Meslier has defended the goal for 4,950 minutes and has tallied 84 saves so far in his career.

For their last match, Brighton walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 1-0 against Manchester City. Brighton earned a 66.7% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 8 of the 12 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 313 out of their 393 passing attempts for a percentage of 79.6%. Brighton landed 1 SoT out of their 5 shots attempted earning them a 20.0% rate when they last stepped onto the pitch. With 20 goals and 11 assists in all competitions, Brighton averages 1.11 goals and 0.61 assists per 90 minutes.

Neal Maupay will need to be on top of his game for Brighton. He is currently averaging 0.45 goals per 90 and has started 153 games in his career. The forward representing France has played 14,144 minutes and has scored 71 goals. He has collected 32 yellow cards in his career and has helped on a goal 20 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for Leandro Trossard, the forward representing Belgium. Trossard has earned himself 11 yellow card cautions in 13,543 professional minutes (151 starting assignments). His goals per 90 average in his career is 0.39. He has totaled 58 goals during his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 23 times.

Robert Sanchez is expected to look after the net for Brighton. Sanchez has 7 shutouts while defending 157 shots against him in 2,970 mins throughout his career. He holds a save percentage of .682 and his shutout rate is currently 21.2%. He has allowed 1.64 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 8-9-16. During his professional soccer career, Sanchez has conceded 54 goals and has earned 108 saves in 33 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brighton (+220)

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