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Napoli vs Benevento Prediction, 2/28/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/24/2021

Dries Mertens Napoli

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Game: Napoli vs Benevento

Date: Sunday, February 28, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-238) Benevento (+440)

Roberto Insigne and Benevento (6-7-10, 12th in Serie A) go to Stadio San Paolo on Sunday where they'll take on Napoli (13-1-8, 7th in Serie A). The starting goalkeepers will be Alex Meret for Napoli and Lorenzo Montipo for Benevento. The odds on this contest have Napoli coming in at -238 and the Sorcerers are at +440. The total opens at 3.5.

Napoli played Atalanta in their last matchup and went home with a loss by a final score of 4-2. Napoli tried 14 dribbles in this game and converted 7 of the tries for a rate of 50.0%. In the passing game, they earned a 83.2% received passes rate by converting 484 of the 582 pass targets in their last game. In terms of shooting accuracy, Napoli finished the game at a 50.0% rate by hitting 2 shots on target out of 4 total shots. Napoli is averaging 2.09 goals per 90 (46 goals in total) and have earned 32 assists in all contests for this campaign.

Lorenzo Insigne is a guy who should be able to impact this game for Napoli. Insigne has started 271 matches so far in his pro soccer career and has 0.36 goals per 90 mins. The forward hailing from Italy has tallied 94 goals in 23,441 professional minutes played. He has 76 assists while earning 25 yellow cards in his career. Someone else who should impact this match is Matteo Politano, the forward representing Italy. He has assisted on a goal 27 times in his career while he has scored 44 total goals. Politano has been on the pitch for 15,428 minutes during 178 career starting assignments and has earned himself 23 yellow card cautions. He is averaging 0.26 goals per 90 mins during his career.

The guy protecting the net for Napoli is Alex Meret. Meret has played for 7,817 minutes and is sitting with 267 stops in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.13 (98 goals allowed) and his save % is 75.2. The goalie from Italy has seen 355 shots attempted against him in 87 starts. Meret (42-22-22 mark in his career) has recorded 26 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 29.9% shutout rate.

The last time they took the field, Benevento earned the draw by finishing with a tally of 0-0 against AS Roma. They wrapped up this outing by completing 188 of the 262 passing attempts for a rate of 71.8%. Benevento finished the match with a 50.0% successful dribble rate by converting 2 out of the 4 dribbles they tried. Benevento landed 3 shots on goal out of their 6 shots attempted which gave them a 50.0% clip in their last match. With a total of 25 goals and 16 assists in all their contests, Benevento has an average of 1.09 goals and 0.70 assists per 90 minutes.

Roberto Insigne will need to provide a spark for Benevento. The forward born in Italy has been on the field for 10,309 minutes while scoring 29 goals. He has earned 19 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 33 times. He is averaging 0.25 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 116 matches so far in his career. You should also keep an eye on Gianluca Lapadula, the forward representing Italy. He has scored 57 goals during his soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 17 times. Lapadula has earned himself a total of 24 yellow card cautions in 10,520 professional minutes (111 starts). His G/90 average in his career is 0.49.

Lorenzo Montipo will look after the goal for Benevento. Montipò has totaled 40 clean sheets while defending 400 shots attempted against him in 11,700 mins throughout his career. He has a save percentage of 71.3 and his shutout rate is 30.8%. He has surrendered 0.95 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 53-38-39. In his pro soccer career, Montipò has conceded 123 goals and has racked up 285 stops in 130 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Benevento (+440)

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