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Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, 1/17/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/12/2021

Hirving Lozano Napoli

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Game: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, January 17, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN 2

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-174) Fiorentina (+467)

Stadio San Paolo is the site where Lorenzo Insigne and Napoli (10-1-5, 5th in Serie A) will take on Fiorentina (4-6-7, 12th in Serie A) on Sunday. The goalies who are expected to start are David Ospina for Napoli and Bartlomiej Dragowski for Fiorentina. The line on this matchup has Napoli priced at -174 and Fiorentina are at +467. The over/under has been set at 2.75.

Napoli stepped onto the pitch against Udinese in their last matchup and notched a win by a score of 2-1. In sharing the ball, they ended up with a 90.6% received passes rate by converting 607 of the 670 passing targets last game. Napoli tried 14 dribbles in this game and were successful in 7 of those dribbles for a rate of 50.0%. Regarding shot accuracy, Napoli finished the game at a 31.3% clip by putting 5 shots on target out of 16 total shots. Napoli averages 2.12 goals per 90 minutes (34 total goals) and have accumulated 24 assists in all competitions for the season.

Lorenzo Insigne is a guy who should be able to impact this game for Napoli. He has 75 assists while accumulating 24 yellow cards in his career. Insigne has had a starting assignment in 267 outings during his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.36 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Italy has totaled 91 goals scored in 23,052 minutes played. Another player who could decide the outcome is Matteo Politano, the forward representing Italy. He has helped on a goal 26 times in his career while he has scored 41 goals. Politano has been on the pitch for 15,101 mins in 175 career starts and has been handed a total of 23 yellow cards. He sports an average of 0.24 goals per 90 for his career.

The man protecting the net for Napoli will be David Ospina. Ospina (106-62-88 record in his career) has earned 86 clean sheets, which has earned him a 33.3% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from Colombia has faced 1,073 shots tried against him in 258 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.15 (294 goals given up) and he has earned a save % of .732. Ospina has seen the pitch for 22,981 minutes and is sitting with 783 stops in his career.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Fiorentina took home the win by a final score of 1-0 against Cagliari. Fiorentina had a 77.8% successful dribble rate by connecting on 7 out of the 9 dribbles they attempted. They wrapped up this outing by completing 380 out of their 478 passing attempts earning a rate of 79.5%. Fiorentina had 4 shots on goal out of 14 shots attempted giving them a 28.6% clip when they last took the field. Having earned a total of 17 goals and 13 assists in all competitions, Fiorentina sports an average of 1.00 goal and 0.76 assists per 90 min.

Dusan Vlahovic will be someone to watch for Fiorentina. The forward from Serbia has 3,178 mins while scoring 13 goals. He has tallied 6 yellow cards in his career and has helped on a goal 1 times. He is currently averaging 0.37 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 28 outings during his soccer career. Make sure to watch out for Christian Kouame, the forward born in Cote d'Ivoire. He has earned 24 goals in his pro soccer career while assisting a teammate on a goal 17 different times. Kouame has earned himself 13 yellow card warnings in 7,923 professional minutes (85 career starts). His G/90 average during his career is 0.27.

Bartlomiej Dragowski will be residing in front of the goal for Fiorentina. So far in his pro soccer career, Dragowski has allowed 161 goals while tallying 330 saves in 101 starts. He has surrendered 1.56 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 29-28-45. He has earned a save percentage of .688 and his clean sheet rate sits at 24.8%. Dragowski has recorded 25 shutouts while seeing 478 shots against him in 9,262 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Napoli (-174)

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