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Napoli vs Hellas Verona Prediction, 5/23/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Parlay's Pundit - 5/17/2021

Dries Mertens Napoli

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Game: Napoli vs Hellas Verona

Date: Sunday, May 23, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-357) Hellas Verona (+850)

Dries Mertens and Napoli (24-4-9, 4th in Serie A) play Hellas Verona (11-10-15, 10th in Serie A) at Stadio San Paolo on Sunday. The expected starting goalkeepers will be David Ospina for Napoli and Marco Silvestri for Hellas Verona. The Blues are at -357 while Hellas Verona are priced at +850. The over/under is set at 3.5.

Napoli faced off with Fiorentina in their last match and took home the win by a score of 2-0. Napoli attempted 16 dribbles in this contest and were able to convert 8 of those tries for a rate of 50.0%. When discussing the passing game, they had a 92.1% received passes rate by completing 441 of the 479 passing targets last contest. Regarding shot accuracy, Napoli ended this match at a 25.0% rate by putting 5 SoT out of 20 total shots. Napoli averages 2.22 goals per 90 min (82 goals in total) and have racked up 55 assists in all competitions for this campaign.

Dries Mertens is a player who should be able to impact this match for Napoli. Mertens has started 365 matchups during his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.51 G/90. The forward representing Belgium has totaled 184 goals in 32,573 minutes. He has accounted for 121 assists while accumulating 53 yellow card warnings thus far in his career. One more guy who could decide who wins is Lorenzo Insigne, the forward hailing from Italy. He has assisted on a goal 81 times so far in his career while he has scored 103 total goals. Insigne has been on the pitch for 24,768 minutes during 286 career starting assignments and has been handed 25 yellow card cautions. He is currently averaging 0.37 goals per 90 minutes for his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Napoli will be David Ospina. Ospina (112-62-89 mark in his career) has tallied 91 shutouts, which leaves him with a 34.3% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from Colombia has had 1,093 shots attempted at him in 265 starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.13 (297 total goals given up) and his save % is 73.4. Ospina has seen the pitch for 23,611 mins and is sitting with 800 stops during his career.

When they last took the field, Hellas Verona went home defeated by a final of 2-1 against Crotone. Hellas Verona ended the game with a 47.1% successful dribble rate by converting 8 out of the 17 dribbles they pursued. They finished this game by completing 480 out of their 548 passes they tried for a rate of 87.6%. Hellas Verona converted 2 shots on target out of 11 shots attempted which had them at a 18.2% rate in their last outing. With 35 goals and 27 assists in all their matches, Hellas Verona is averaging 0.97 goals and 0.75 assists per 90 minutes.

Mattia Zaccagni should provide a lift for Hellas Verona. He has an average of 0.13 goals per 90 mins and has started 94 matches during his pro soccer career. The midfielder hailing from Italy has totaled 8,026 minutes while he has scored 12 goals. He has accumulated 21 yellow card cautions in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 13 times. Make sure to watch out for Antonin Barak, the forward who is from Spain. He has tallied 27 goals in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 13 times. Barak has earned himself 18 yellow card warnings in 10,260 mins (114 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average during his pro soccer career is 0.24.

Marco Silvestri is expected to look after the goal for Hellas Verona. Silvestri has racked up 50 shutouts while seeing 780 shots attempted against him in 19,766 career minutes. He sports a save % of 71.3 and his shutout rate is currently 22.8%. He has surrendered 1.08 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 67-73-79. In his career, Silvestri has surrendered 237 goals while totaling 552 saves in 219 starts.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Hellas Verona (+850) and under the total goals

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