Napoli vs Parma Prediction, 1/31/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/27/2021

Game: Napoli vs Parma

Date: Sunday, January 31, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-400) Parma (+850)

Juraj Kucka and Parma (2-7-10, 19th in Serie A) head to Stadio San Paolo on Sunday where they'll take on Napoli (11-1-6, 7th in Serie A). The goalies expected to start will be David Ospina for Napoli and Luigi Sepe for Parma. The moneyline on this game has Napoli coming in at -400 and the Crusaders are at +850. The O/U has been set at 3.5.

Napoli took the field against Hellas Verona in their last matchup and took a loss by a score of 3-1. In regard to passing, they ended up with a 81.3% received passes percentage by completing 410 of the 504 pass attempts last match. Napoli tried 11 dribbles in this match and converted 3 of the tries for a rate of 27.3%. In terms of shooting accuracy, Napoli walked away from the pitch at a 16.7% clip by hitting 2 SoT of 12 total shots. Napoli has an average of 2.28 goals per 90 min (41 total goals) and have tallied 30 assists in all games this year.

Lorenzo Insigne is a player who should be able to impact this match for Napoli. Insigne has been in the starting lineup in 269 matchups during his career while he scores 0.36 goals per 90. The forward hailing from Italy has 93 goals in 23,189 mins. He has accounted for 76 assists while tallying 25 yellow cards so far in his career. Someone else who should impact this match is Matteo Politano, the forward born in Italy. Politano has been on the pitch for 15,156 mins during 175 starts and has been handed a total of 23 yellow card cautions. He has assisted on a goal 26 times in his pro soccer career while scoring 42 goals. He scores 0.25 G/90 for his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Napoli is David Ospina. Ospina has played for 23,071 minutes and is sitting with 784 stops during his soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.15 (294 total goals allowed) and he has a save % of .732. The goalie hailing from Colombia has faced 1,074 shots attempted against him in 259 starts. Ospina (107-62-88 record in his career) has totaled 87 shutouts, which gives him a 33.6% shutout percentage.

For their last match, Parma took a defeat with a final score of 2-0 against Sampdoria. Parma had a 72.2% successful dribble percentage by completing 13 of the 18 dribbles they tried. They finished the match by completing 429 of the 497 passing tries for a percentage of 86.3%. Parma connected on 4 shots on goal out of their 12 shots attempted which gave them a 33.3% rate in their last game. Having accumulated 14 goals and 11 assists in all their contests, Parma averages 0.74 goals and 0.58 assists per 90 minutes.

Juraj Kucka will be someone to watch for Parma. He is averaging 0.15 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 251 matches during his soccer career. The midfielder from Slovakia has been on the field for 22,368 minutes and has scored 37 goals. He has 76 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 23 times. You should also keep an eye on Gervinho, the forward representing Cote d'Ivoire. He has collected 102 goals so far in his career while helping on a goal 63 different times. Gervinho has been given 33 yellow card warnings in 30,472 professional minutes played (345 career starting assignments). His G/90 average in his career is 0.30.

Luigi Sepe will reside in front of the net for Parma. In his career, Sepe has given up 224 goals and has 543 stops in 161 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.39 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 58-47-57. He holds a save percentage of .721 and his clean sheet rate is 26.7%. Sepe has totaled 43 shutouts while seeing 750 shots attempted against him in 14,549 minutes in his career.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Parma (+850)

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #465 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 CBS) The Chiefs keep winning games and sooner or later one of those wins will come by a comfortable margin. I look for that to be this Sunday against a Browns team that is just playing out the string. Cleveland currently sits at 3- 10 and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Their only win came against Pittsburgh in a snow game on a short week. All 4 of those losses by the Browns have come over the posted number for this game. Kansas City is better on both sides of the football, and I just do not see the Browns offense keeping pace. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in basketball, football, and hockey. We will feature our World-Famous Nonconference Game of the Year in College Basketball on Saturday. This game has won 13 of the 15 years it has been in existence and it is a must have for any big game hunter. Read More Read Less

Napoli vs Parma Prediction, 1/31/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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