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Napoli vs Spezia Prediction, 1/6/2021 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/5/2021

Hirving Lozano Napoli

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Game: Napoli vs Spezia

Date: Wednesday, January 6, 2021

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-500) Spezia (+1200)

Stadio San Paolo is the site where Matteo Politano and Napoli (9-1-4, 4th in Serie A) will play Spezia (2-5-8, 19th in Serie A) on Wednesday. The men protecting the net are David Ospina for Napoli and Rafael for Spezia. The Eagles are at at +1200 while the Blues are at -500. The O/U is set at 3.5.

Napoli took the field against Cagliari in their last matchup and notched a win by a score of 4-1. When talking about passing the ball, they finished this match with a 92.2% received passes percentage by connecting on 587 of the 637 pass targets in their last match. Napoli tried 21 dribbles in this match and were successful in 15 of the tries for a percentage of 71.4%. In relation to shooting accuracy, Napoli finished at a 31.3% clip by putting 10 SoT out of 32 shots. Napoli averages 2.21 g/90 (31 goals in total) and have 22 assists in all matches this season.

Matteo Politano is a guy who can be a difference maker for Napoli. Politano has started 174 outings so far in his pro soccer career and has 0.25 G/90. The forward from Italy has earned 41 goals in 15,050 mins. He has accounted for 26 assists while accumulating 23 yellow card cautions during his soccer career. Someone else who should impact this game is Lorenzo Insigne, the forward who is from Italy. Insigne has earned 22,872 mins during 265 starting assignments and has been given 24 yellow card warnings. He has assisted on a goal 75 times thus far in his career while he has scored 90 goals. He is averaging 0.35 goals per 90 minutes for his pro soccer career.

The man who will protect the net for Napoli will be David Ospina. Ospina has defended the goal for 22,891 mins and has 782 saves in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.15 (292 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save % of .732. The goalkeeper hailing from Colombia has had 1,071 shots sent his way in 257 starting assignments. Ospina (106-62-87 mark in his career) has recorded 86 shutouts, which gives him a 33.5% clean sheet percentage.

For their last outing, Spezia took a defeat with a final score of 1-0 against Hellas Verona. Spezia earned a 80.0% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 8 out of the 10 dribbles they attempted. They finished the match by completing 344 out of their 451 passing tries earning a percentage of 76.3%. Spezia landed 1 shot on target out of the team's 7 shots tried which had them at a 14.3% clip when they last stepped onto the pitch. With a total of 19 goals and 15 assists in all their games, Spezia has an average of 1.27 goals and 1.00 assist per 90 min.

Emanuel Gyasi will need to be on top of his game for Spezia. He currently averages 0.20 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 63 contests during his soccer career. The forward from Ghana has earned 5,443 minutes while scoring 12 goals. He has earned 17 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has helped on a goal 11 times. Make sure to watch out for M'Bala Nzola, the forward born in France. He has collected 14 goals during his pro soccer career while helping a teammate on a goal 2 different times. Nzola has been handed a total of 6 yellow card warnings in 3,001 mins (32 starts). His G/90 average during his pro soccer career is 0.42.

Rafael will reside in front of the goal for Spezia. Rafael has racked up 52 shutouts and has seen 811 shots against him in 16,523 minutes in his career. He has a save % of .708 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 28.4%. He has allowed 1.32 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a record of 82-42-60. So far in his pro soccer career, Rafael has conceded 242 goals and has tallied 571 stops in 183 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Spezia (+1200)

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