Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction, 5/2/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/26/2021

Game: Newcastle United vs Arsenal

Date: Sunday, May 2, 2021

Location: St. James' Park in Tyne, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Newcastle United (+360) Arsenal (-133)

Callum Wilson and Newcastle United (9-9-15, 16th in the EPL) play Arsenal (13-7-13, 10th in the EPL) at St. James' Park on Sunday. The expected starting goalies will be Martin Dubravka for Newcastle United and Bernd Leno for Arsenal. The line on this contest has Newcastle United coming in at +360 and the Gunners are at -133. The over/under has been set at 2.5.

Newcastle United stepped onto the pitch against Liverpool in their last matchup and walked away with a draw with a final of 1-1. When talking about passing the ball, they ended with a 84.8% received passes rate by completing 285 out of their 336 pass attempts in their last match. Newcastle United tried 22 dribbles in this match and were able to convert 12 of the attempts for a rate of 54.5%. Regarding shot accuracy, Newcastle United walked away from the pitch at a 57.1% clip by landing 4 shots on target of 7 total shots. Newcastle United averages 1.03 goals per 90 minutes (34 total goals) and are sitting with 23 assists In all contests for the season.

Callum Wilson is a player who can be a difference maker for Newcastle United. Wilson has had a starting assignment in 234 matches during his soccer career while scoring 0.41 goals per 90 mins. The forward from England has earned 95 goals in 20,689 minutes played. He has accounted for 31 assists while tallying 34 yellow card warnings during his soccer career. Another player who could decide the outcome is Joelinton, the forward representing Brazil. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 17 times so far in his career while he has scored 30 total goals. Joelinton has totaled 11,696 mins during 133 starting assignments and has been handed 32 yellow card cautions. He is currently averaging 0.23 goals per 90 minutes for his career.

The guy who will defend the goal for Newcastle United is Martin Dubravka. Dubravka (66-59-76 record during his career) has earned 60 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 29.9% shutout rate. The goalkeeper hailing from Slovakia has had 854 shots tried at him in 201 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.3 (255 total goals allowed) and his save % is 71.3. Dubravka has defended the goal for a total of 18,090 minutes and has 610 saves in his career.

The last time they took the pitch, Arsenal took a loss by a final score of 1-0 against Everton. They finished the match by converting 583 out of their 627 passing tries for a rate of 93.0%. Arsenal ended the game with a 55.6% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 10 out of the 18 dribbles they pursued. Arsenal had 3 shots attempted out of the team's 14 shots attempted earning them a 21.4% clip in their last outing. With 42 goals and 29 assists in all competitions, Arsenal has an average of 1.27 goals and 0.88 assists per 90 min.

Nicolas Pepe should be someone to watch for Arsenal. He scores 0.39 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 115 games so far in his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from France has been on the field for 11,013 mins while he has scored 48 goals. He has earned 13 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has helped on a goal 24 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, the forward who is from France. Aubameyang has been handed a total of 23 yellow card warnings in 29,324 mins (327 starts). His goals per 90 min average during his career is 0.62. He has earned 202 goals in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 51 different times.

Bernd Leno will look after the goal for Arsenal. Leno has racked up 113 clean sheets while defending 1,519 shots against him in 34,355 career mins. He has a save percentage of 70.5 and his clean sheet rate sits at 29.6%. He has allowed 1.23 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 170-99-112. In his career, Leno has surrendered 470 goals and has accumulated 1,068 stops in 382 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arsenal (-133)

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Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction, 5/2/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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