Southampton vs Brighton Prediction, 3/14/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/8/2021

Game: Southampton vs Brighton

Date: Sunday, March 14, 2021

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+1375) Brighton (+204)

Che Adams and Southampton (9-6-12, 14th in the EPL) host Brighton (5-11-11, 17th in the EPL) at St. Mary's Stadium on Sunday. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Robert Sanchez for Brighton. Southampton are at +1375 while the Seagulls are at +204. The total is set at 3.25.

Southampton played Sheffield United in their last match and walked away with a win by a score of 2-0. Southampton tried 13 dribbles in this match and were successful in 8 of those tries for a rate of 61.5%. When talking about passing the ball, they had a 78.4% passes received percentage by connecting on 319 out of their 407 passing targets last game. Concerning shot accuracy, Southampton finished at a 42.9% rate by hitting 6 shots on target out of 14 total shots. Southampton averages 1.22 goals per 90 (33 goals in total) and have accounted for 23 assists in all matches for the season.

Che Adams is a player who should impact this matchup for Southampton. He has accounted for 17 assists while tallying 16 yellow card warnings thus far in his career. Adams has started 155 matchups thus far in his career and tallies 0.34 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in England has earned 54 goals in 14,108 mins played. One more player who could decide who wins is James Ward-Prowse, the midfielder representing England. He has helped on a goal 27 times thus far in his career while he has scored 28 total goals. Ward-Prowse has played 16,525 minutes during 178 career starting assignments and has been given 32 yellow card cautions. He currently averages 0.15 G/90 for his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Southampton will be Alex McCarthy. McCarthy has played for 21,710 mins and has earned 804 saves in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.4 (348 total goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 70.2. The goalkeeper born in England has faced 1,139 shots attempted against him in 241 career starting assignments. McCarthy (80-69-93 record during his soccer career) has totaled 58 shutouts, which gives him a 24.1% clean sheet rate.

When they last took the field, Brighton took a loss by a score of 2-1 against Leicester City. Brighton earned a 50.0% successful dribble rate by connecting on 11 of the 22 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 280 out of their 372 passes they attempted earning a percentage of 75.3%. Brighton connected on 2 shots attempted out of 8 shots attempted which gave them a 25.0% clip when they last stepped onto the pitch. Having accumulated 26 goals and 16 assists in all their games, Brighton has an average of 0.96 goals and 0.59 assists per 90.

Leandro Trossard will be someone to watch for Brighton. The forward from Belgium has been on the pitch for 14,258 minutes and has earned 59 goals. He has earned 12 yellow card warnings in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 24 times. He is currently averaging 0.37 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 159 games so far in his career. You should also keep an eye on Neal Maupay, the forward who represents France. Maupay has been given 33 yellow cards in 14,872 mins (162 career starting assignments). His goals per 90 average so far in his career is 0.44. He has 72 goals in his career while assisting on a goal 21 times.

Robert Sanchez will be residing in front of the net for Brighton. Sanchez has totaled 12 shutouts while seeing 181 shots against him in 3,780 career minutes. He has a save % of 69.1 and his shutout rate is currently at 28.6%. He has conceded 1.43 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 11-12-19. In his pro soccer career, Sanchez has given up 60 goals and has accounted for 126 stops in 42 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brighton (+204)

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #465 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 CBS) The Chiefs keep winning games and sooner or later one of those wins will come by a comfortable margin. I look for that to be this Sunday against a Browns team that is just playing out the string. Cleveland currently sits at 3- 10 and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Their only win came against Pittsburgh in a snow game on a short week. All 4 of those losses by the Browns have come over the posted number for this game. Kansas City is better on both sides of the football, and I just do not see the Browns offense keeping pace. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in basketball, football, and hockey. We will feature our World-Famous Nonconference Game of the Year in College Basketball on Saturday. This game has won 13 of the 15 years it has been in existence and it is a must have for any big game hunter. Read More Read Less

Southampton vs Brighton Prediction, 3/14/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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