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Southampton vs Burnley Prediction, 10/23/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/19/2021

James Ward-Prowse Southampton

Game: Southampton vs Burnley

Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+100) Burnley (+270)

Adam Armstrong and Southampton (1-4-3, 15th in the EPL) play Burnley (0-3-5, 18th in the EPL) at St. Mary's Stadium on Saturday. The starting goalies are Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Nick Pope for Burnley. Burnley are at at +270 while the Saints are at +100. The total has been set at 2.5.

Southampton faced off with Leeds United in their last game and earned the victory with a final of 1-0. In regard to passing, they earned a 81.1% passes received rate by connecting on 309 out of their 381 passing targets last contest. Southampton tried 25 dribbles in this outing and successfully completed 13 of those tries for a percentage of 52.0%.

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In regard to shooting accuracy, Southampton finished the game at a 21.1% clip by landing 4 shots on target of 19 total shots. Southampton has an average of 0.62 goals per 90 min (5 goals in total) and have 2 assists In all contests this year.

Adam Armstrong is a player who can be a difference maker for Southampton. He has 28 assists while earning 10 yellow cards so far in his career. Armstrong has had a starting assignment in 209 outings thus far in his career and he has earned 0.41 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from England has earned 86 goals scored in 18,758 professional minutes.

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Another guy who should impact this match is Armando Broja, the forward representing Albania. He has helped a teammate on a goal 2 times thus far in his career while he has scored 11 goals. Broja has been on the field for 2,038 minutes during 22 starting assignments and has been handed 2 yellow cards. He is averaging 0.49 goals per 90 minutes during his career.

The man protecting the net for Southampton will be Alex McCarthy. McCarthy (82-74-100 mark during his soccer career) has accounted for 61 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 23.9% clean sheet rate. The goalie born in England has faced 1,209 shots attempted at him in 255 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.5 (372 total goals surrendered) and his save % is 70.1. McCarthy has been on the field for 22,970 mins and has earned 850 stops so far in his career.

The last time they took the field, Burnley took a loss by a score of 2-0 against Manchester City. Burnley ended the game with a 47.1% successful dribble rate by connecting on 8 of the 17 dribbles they pursued. They finished this game by completing 233 of the 318 passes they attempted earning a percentage of 73.3%. Burnley converted 2 shots tried out of 7 shots tried which had them at a 28.6% clip in their last match. With 4 goals and 4 assists in all competitions, Burnley sports an average of 0.50 goals and 0.50 assists per 90 minutes.

Ashley Barnes should be able to be counted on for Burnley. He is averaging 0.34 G/90 and has started 290 contests so far in his pro soccer career. The forward from England has totaled 26,108 professional minutes and he has scored 98 goals. He has tallied 72 yellow card cautions during his career and has assisted on a goal 22 times. Make sure to watch out for Chris Wood, the forward born in New Zealand. He has scored 134 goals during his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 35 times. Wood has been given 10 yellow cards in 26,500 minutes (299 starts). His goals per 90 average so far in his pro soccer career is 0.46.

Nick Pope is expected to look after the goal for Burnley. So far in his career, Pope has surrendered 219 goals and has earned 639 saves in 201 starts. He has allowed 1.08 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 73-61-68. He holds a save % of 75.4 and his clean sheet rate sits at 38.8%. Pope has totaled 78 clean sheets and has defended 850 shots tried against him in 18,189 mins in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Burnley (+270)

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