Southampton vs Leeds United Prediction, 5/18/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/17/2021

Game: Southampton vs Leeds United

Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+114) Leeds United (+219)

Patrick Bamford and Leeds United (16-5-15, 10th in the EPL) are headed to St. Mary's Stadium on Tuesday where they'll meet Southampton (12-7-17, 14th in the EPL). The goalies who are expected to start are Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Illan Meslier for Leeds United. Southampton are at +114 while the Whites are priced at +219. The over/under is set at 2.75.

Southampton played Fulham in their last game and went home with a win by a final score of 3-1. When talking about passing the ball, they ended up with a 86.6% passes received percentage by connecting on 426 out of their 492 passing attempts in their last match. Southampton attempted 22 dribbles in this contest and converted 10 of those dribbles for a rate of 45.5%. In relation to shooting accuracy, Southampton walked away from the pitch at a 54.5% rate by landing 6 shots on target of 11 shots. Southampton has an average of 1.31 goals per 90 min (47 goals in total) and have 33 assists in all matches for the season.

James Ward-Prowse is a player you are going to want to keep your eye on for Southampton. He has totaled 29 assists while tallying 33 yellow card warnings in his career. Ward-Prowse has been in the starting lineup in 187 matchups during his soccer career and he tallies 0.16 G/90. The midfielder hailing from England has 30 goals in 17,335 mins. One more player who could decide who wins is Che Adams, the forward representing England. Adams has been on the pitch for 14,745 mins in 162 career starts and has earned himself 16 yellow cards. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 18 times during his soccer career and he has scored 58 total goals. He is averaging 0.35 goals per 90 mins during his career.

The guy protecting the net for Southampton will be Alex McCarthy. McCarthy (81-70-95 mark in his professional soccer career) has accounted for 58 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 23.7% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper hailing from England has seen 1,163 shots sent in his direction in 245 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.5 (357 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is 70.2. McCarthy has played for a total of 22,070 minutes and has accumulated 820 stops in his career.

When they last played, Leeds United earned three points by winning 4-0 against Burnley. Leeds United finished with a 63.6% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 7 out of the 11 dribbles they attempted. They wrapped up this contest by connecting on 361 out of their 455 passes they tried for a percentage of 79.3%. Leeds United landed 6 shots tried out of 17 shots tried which had them at a 35.3% rate in their last match. With a total of 55 goals and 43 assists for all their games, Leeds United is averaging 1.53 goals and 1.19 assists per 90 minutes.

Patrick Bamford should provide solid play for Leeds United. He averages 0.49 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 200 outings during his career. The forward representing England has been on the pitch for 17,566 mins while scoring 95 goals. He has tallied 21 yellow cards so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 18 times. Make sure to watch out for Jack Harrison, the forward representing England. He has earned 32 goals thus far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 28 different times. Harrison has been handed a total of 8 yellow card cautions in 13,321 minutes played (159 starts). His goals per 90 minute average during his career is 0.22.

Illan Meslier is expected to look after the net for Leeds United. In his career, Meslier has conceded 88 goals and has totaled 155 saves in 73 starts. He has allowed 1.21 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a record of 36-15-22. He has a save % of 76.2 and his clean sheet rate sits at 37.0%. Meslier has accumulated 27 clean sheets while seeing 202 shots attempted against him in 6,570 minutes throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Leeds United (+219)

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Southampton vs Leeds United Prediction, 5/18/2021 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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