VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg Prediction, 10/23/2021 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/20/2021

Game: VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg

Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021

Location: Volkswagen Arena in Wolfsburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (+105) SC Freiburg (+235)

Nils Petersen and SC Freiburg (4-4-0, 4th in Bundesliga) go to Volkswagen Arena on Saturday where they'll take on VfL Wolfsburg (4-1-3, 6th in Bundesliga). The goalkeepers protecting the net are Koen Casteels for VfL Wolfsburg and Mark Flekken for SC Freiburg. SC Freiburg are at at +235 while the Wolves are at +105. The over/under has been set at 2.5.

VfL Wolfsburg faced Union Berlin in their last game and took a loss by a score of 2-0. VfL Wolfsburg tried 13 dribbles in this matchup and were able to convert 7 of the tries for a rate of 53.8%. In regard to passing, they finished with a 84.9% received passes percentage by completing 484 of the 570 pass targets in their last game.

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Concerning shot accuracy, VfL Wolfsburg walked away from the pitch at a 30.8% rate by putting 4 shots on target out of 13 total shots. VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.13 g/90 (9 goals in total) and are sitting with 5 assists in all contests for this campaign.

Lukas Nmecha is a guy who can be a difference maker for VfL Wolfsburg. He has accounted for 8 assists while earning 7 yellow card warnings during his career. Nmecha has been a starter in 61 matches so far in his pro soccer career and accounts for 0.29 goals per 90. The forward hailing from Germany has accumulated 19 goals scored in 5,838 mins.

One more guy who should impact this match is Ridle Baku, the midfielder hailing from Germany. Baku has accumulated 6,918 mins in 78 starts and has been given 10 yellow card cautions. He has helped on a goal 10 times during his soccer career and he has scored 11 goals. He is averaging 0.14 goals per 90 for his pro soccer career.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for VfL Wolfsburg is Koen Casteels. Casteels (73-60-70 record during his career) has accounted for 55 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 27.1% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper from Belgium has seen 871 shots tried against him in 203 starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.49 (302 total goals surrendered) and he has earned a save % of 67.4. Casteels has been on the pitch for a total of 18,244 mins and is sitting with 588 saves so far in his career.

The last time they took the pitch, SC Freiburg were able to avoid a loss with a score of 1-1 against RB Leipzig. SC Freiburg had a 55.6% successful dribble rate by connecting on 5 of the 9 dribbles they pursued. They wrapped up this outing by converting 333 of the 407 attempted passes for a rate of 81.8%. SC Freiburg converted 3 shots on target out of their 15 shots tried which gave them a 20.0% rate in their last match. With 11 goals and 6 assists for all their matches, SC Freiburg has an average of 1.37 goals and 0.75 assists per 90 minutes.

Nils Petersen will need to provide a spark for SC Freiburg. He scores 0.60 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 221 games during his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Germany has 21,544 mins and has earned 144 goals. He has accumulated 17 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 29 times. You should also watch out for Lucas Holer, the forward who is from Germany. Holer has earned himself 21 yellow card warnings in 15,448 professional minutes played (173 career starts). His goals per 90 average so far in his pro soccer career is 0.31. He has 53 goals in his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 16 times.

Mark Flekken will reside in front of the goal for SC Freiburg. So far in his pro soccer career, Flekken has allowed 145 goals and has 349 saves in 107 starts. He has conceded 1.36 goals per 90 mins and he has a mark of 41-33-32. He has a save % of 72.6 and his shutout rate is currently 31.8%. Flekken has recorded 34 clean sheets and has defended 492 shots against him in 9,569 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's Bundesliga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take VfL Wolfsburg (+105)

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VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg Prediction, 10/23/2021 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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