Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, 3/20/2021 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/16/2021

Game: Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg

Date: Saturday, March 20, 2021

Location: Weser Stadium in Bremen, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Werder Bremen (+260) VfL Wolfsburg (+100)

Ridle Baku and VfL Wolfsburg (13-9-3, 3rd in Bundesliga) travel to Weser Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on Werder Bremen (7-9-9, 12th in Bundesliga). The expected starting goalies will be Jiri Pavlenka for Werder Bremen and Koen Casteels for VfL Wolfsburg. The odds on this matchup have Werder Bremen coming in at +260 and the Wolves are at +100. The over/under has been set at 2.5.

Werder Bremen played Bayern Munich in their last game and took a loss by a final of 3-1. In regard to passing, they finished this match with a 81.5% received passes percentage by connecting on 449 out of their 551 passing attempts last game. Werder Bremen attempted 15 dribbles in this outing and converted 7 of those tries for a percentage of 46.7%. Concerning shot accuracy, Werder Bremen ended this match at a 50.0% rate by putting 4 SoT of 8 total shots. Werder Bremen is averaging 1.16 goals per 90 (29 total goals) and have tallied 21 assists in all matches this year.

Leonardo Bittencourt is a player who can be a difference maker for Werder Bremen. Bittencourt has been a starter in 177 matchups so far in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.17 G/90. The forward who is from Germany has earned 29 goals in 15,014 professional minutes played. He has accounted for 31 assists while accumulating 43 yellow card warnings during his soccer career. One more player who could decide who wins is Maximilian Eggestein, the midfielder hailing from Germany. Eggestein has been on the field for 13,719 minutes in 154 career starting assignments and has earned himself 22 yellow card cautions. He has helped a teammate on a goal 14 times during his soccer career while scoring 14 total goals. He currently averages 0.09 G/90 for his pro soccer career.

The man defending the goal for Werder Bremen will be Jiri Pavlenka. Pavlenka has played for 20,371 mins and has accumulated 733 stops in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.36 (307 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of 71.1. The goalkeeper from Czech Republic has had 1,030 shots tried at him in 229 career starts. Pavlenka (77-70-81 record during his career) has earned 56 shutouts, which has earned him a 24.5% clean sheet rate.

When they last played, VfL Wolfsburg got the victory with a final of 5-0 against FC Schalke 04. They finished the contest by completing 415 of the 519 passing attempts for a percentage of 80.0%. VfL Wolfsburg finished the match with a 45.5% successful dribble rate by completing 5 of the 11 dribbles they attempted. VfL Wolfsburg connected on 7 shots on target out of 16 shots attempted earning them a 43.8% clip when they last took the field. Having accumulated 41 goals and 33 assists in all their games, VfL Wolfsburg has an average of 1.64 goals and 1.32 assists per 90 minutes.

Ridle Baku should provide a lift for VfL Wolfsburg. He is averaging 0.13 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 63 contests during his career. The midfielder from Germany has played 5,606 minutes and has earned 8 goals. He has totaled 7 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 6 times. Be sure to watch out for Wout Weghorst, the forward born in the Netherlands. He has earned 119 goals during his career while helping on a goal 29 different times. Weghorst has been given 41 yellow cards in 20,883 professional minutes played (226 starts). His goals per 90 min average so far in his career is 0.51.

Koen Casteels is expected to look after the net for VfL Wolfsburg. Casteels has totaled 50 shutouts while seeing 817 shots against him in 16,804 career mins. He holds a save % of 67.8 and his clean sheet rate is 26.7%. He has given up 1.49 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 65-58-64. In his career, Casteels has allowed 279 goals while tallying 555 stops in 187 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Bundesliga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Werder Bremen (+260)

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Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, 3/20/2021 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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