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Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction, 4/3/2022 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/31/2022

Luis Muriel Atalanta

Game: Atalanta vs Napoli

Date: Sunday, April 3, 2022

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Atalanta (+155) Napoli (+145)

Lorenzo Insigne and Napoli (19-6-5, 2nd in Serie A) travel to Gewiss Stadium on Sunday where they'll meet Atalanta (14-9-6, 6th in Serie A). The starting goalies are Juan Musso for Atalanta and David Ospina for Napoli. The line on this game has Atalanta coming in at +155 and the Blues are at +145. The total opens at 2.5.

Atalanta faced Bologna in their last matchup and earned the victory with a final of 1-0. When talking about passing the ball, they had a 91.7% rate by connecting on 277 out of their 302 passing attempts last match. Atalanta tried 12 dribbles in this contest and were able to convert 6 of those attempts for a percentage of 50.0%.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Atalanta finished at a 13.3% rate by hitting 2 shots on target out of 15 total shots. Atalanta has an average of 1.66 g/90 (48 total goals) and have accounted for 32 assists in all matches for this campaign.

Mario Pasalic is a guy who can be a difference maker for Atalanta. He has accounted for 22 assists while accumulating 32 yellow cards so far in his career. Pasalic has started 171 games so far in his career and has 0.33 goals per 90. The midfielder representing Germany has recorded 55 goals scored in 15,127 mins.

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Another player who should impact this match is Luis Muriel, the forward representing Colombia. He has helped a teammate on a goal 38 times during his soccer career while scoring 101 goals. Muriel has earned 17,211 minutes during 186 starting assignments and has been given 28 yellow cards. He is averaging 0.53 goals per 90 mins so far in his pro soccer career.

The guy defending the goal for Atalanta is Juan Musso. Musso (56-38-56 record during his career) has accounted for 40 clean sheets, which has earned him a 26.7% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper from Argentina has faced 637 shots sent in his direction in 150 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.33 (199 total goals allowed) and he has a save % of 73.8. Musso has seen the field for 13,459 mins and has 467 saves in his pro soccer career.

The last time they took the field, Napoli earned three points by winning 2-1 against Udinese. They finished the contest by converting 531 out of their 579 passing attempts earning a percentage of 91.7%. Napoli finished with a 73.7% successful dribble rate by converting 14 out of the 19 dribbles they attempted. Napoli converted 8 shots on target out of the team's 20 shots attempted giving them a 40.0% clip when they last stepped onto the pitch. Having accumulated 53 goals and 29 assists in all competitions, Napoli sports an average of 1.77 goals and 0.97 assists per 90 min.

Lorenzo Insigne should be able to be counted on for Napoli. He scores 0.37 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 308 contests during his pro soccer career. The forward from Italy has been on the pitch for 26,559 professional minutes and he has scored 110 goals. He has totaled 26 yellow card warnings thus far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 86 times. You should also keep an eye on Matteo Politano, the forward representing Italy. Politano has been handed 26 yellow cards in 17,873 mins (207 starts). His G/90 average so far in his career is 0.24. He has collected 48 goals during his pro soccer career while helping on a goal 31 different times.

David Ospina is expected to look after the goal for Napoli. Ospina has totaled 102 clean sheets while seeing 1,179 shots against him in 25,951 mins in his career. He has a save percentage of 73.7 and his shutout rate is currently 35.1%. He has surrendered 1.10 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a record of 127-68-94. Thus far in his career, Ospina has allowed 317 goals and has earned 868 saves in 291 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atalanta (+155)

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