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Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, 9/17/2022 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/15/2022

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Game: Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union

Date: Saturday, September 17, 2022

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+163) Philadelphia (+163)

The Union (18-9-4) are on their way to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday where they will try to beat the 5 Stripes (10-9-12). The 5 Stripes open at +163 while the Zolos are at +163. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Rocco Rios Novo for Atlanta United FC and Andre Blake for Philadelphia Union.

The United sit at 5th concerning expected goals with 47.5, and their expected goals against are sitting at 45.0. The United have allowed 48 goals while conceding 1.55 goals per 90 minutes, and their opponents have recorded 114 shots on target against them. This team's differential on goals is currently at -4 by way of 46 goals compiled in addition to 50 goals conceded. They have accounted for 5 shut outs, giving them a % of 16.1 on the year. Atlanta United FC has amassed 67 saves and hold a save percentage of 62.3 the year. Atlanta has recorded 62 yellow card warnings on the campaign and 3 red cards. On the campaign, the squad sports an average of 1.26 pts per contest (39 pts) and they also are 7th in the league with 35 assists.

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The Union average 2.0 points per contest while having 48 assists and 2 red cards. The Union have accumulated a clean sheet rate of 41.9 the season and 64 yellow card cautions. Philadelphia ranks 1st in relation to goals conceded with 22, and their goal difference is sitting at 46. On the season, the Union have a save % of 83.3 (114 shots on target against), and they also are ranked 1st in soccer with 63 pts. The club's goals against/90 min is currently at 0.71 in addition to 94 saves, and they have recorded 13 clean sheets. Philadelphia has compiled 68 goals and their xG the year is currently at 58.1.

The guy protecting the net for Atlanta will be Rocco Rios Novo. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.84 (94 total goals given up) and he is the owner of a save % of .611. Rios Novo (11-16-24 mark in his professional soccer career) has accounted for 5 shutouts, which gives him a 9.8% clean sheet percentage. Rios Novo has played for 4,590 minutes and has earned 138 stops so far in his career. The goalkeeper from Argentina has seen 226 shots sent his way in 51 starts.

Andre Blake is expected to look after the net for Philadelphia. Thus far in his career, Blake has allowed 250 goals and has accumulated 625 stops in 202 starts. He has surrendered 1.24 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 89-49-64. He holds a save percentage of .730 and his shutout rate is currently 31.7%. Blake has totaled 64 clean sheets while he has seen 856 shots against him in 18,143 minutes in his career.

Luiz Araujo is one member of the squad to keep an eye out for Atlanta. Araujo has started 99 outings in his career and he has earned 0.25 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing Brazil has 26 goals in 9,256 mins. He has totaled 19 assists while accumulating 26 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career.

Philadelphia has an attacker in Daniel Gazdag, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. The midfielder from Hungary has earned 17,263 minutes while he has scored 44 goals. He is averaging 0.23 G/90 and has been a starter in 198 games thus far in his career. He has totaled 36 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 14 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+163)

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