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Brentford vs Burnley Prediction, 3/12/2022 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/8/2022

soccer picks Mathias Jensen Brentford predictions best bet odds

Game: Brentford vs Burnley

Date: Saturday, March 12, 2022

Location: Brentford Community Stadium in London, England

TV: USA Network

Odds/Point Spread: Brentford (+120) Burnley (+213)

Ivan Toney and Brentford (7-6-15, 15th in the EPL) play Burnley (3-12-11, 18th in the EPL) at Brentford Community Stadium on Saturday. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be David Raya for Brentford and Nick Pope for Burnley. Brentford are at +120 while the Clarets are priced at +213. The O/U is set at 2.25.

Brentford played Norwich City in their last game and went home with a win by a final score of 3-1. When talking about passing the ball, they finished this match with a 79.5% received passes rate by connecting on 236 out of their 297 pass targets in their last match. Brentford attempted 11 dribbles in this game and were successful in 6 of those attempts for a rate of 54.5%.

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In terms of shooting accuracy, Brentford finished at a 40.0% rate by landing 4 SoT out of 10 shots. Brentford averages 1.04 g/90 (29 total goals) and are sitting with 18 assists in all contests this year.

Ivan Toney is a guy who can be a difference maker for Brentford. He has accounted for 36 assists while earning 63 yellow card cautions during his career. Toney has had a starting assignment in 216 games during his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.52 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing England has totaled 116 goals scored in 19,943 professional minutes played.

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Another guy who should impact this match is Bryan Mbeumo, the forward born in France. Mbeumo has accumulated 10,749 minutes in 129 career starts and has been handed a total of 16 yellow card cautions. He has helped a teammate on a goal 23 times so far in his pro soccer career and he has scored 37 total goals. He is currently averaging 0.31 goals per 90 so far in his career.

The man who will protect the net for Brentford will be David Raya. Raya has played for a total of 19,440 mins and has earned 590 stops thus far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.1 (230 goals conceded) and he has earned a save percentage of 73.3. The goalie hailing from Spain has seen 809 shots sent his way in 216 starts. Raya (103-57-56 record during his career) has earned 56 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 25.9% clean sheet rate.

For their last outing, Burnley went home defeated by a final of 4-0 against Chelsea. They wrapped up this contest by completing 207 of the 235 attempted passes for a percentage of 88.1%. Burnley had a 46.7% successful dribble rate by connecting on 7 out of the 15 dribbles they tried. With 20 goals and 17 assists in all their matches, Burnley averages 0.77 goals and 0.65 assists per 90 minutes.

Ashley Westwood should provide a spark for Burnley. He currently averages 0.07 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 401 contests so far in his career. The midfielder from England has been on the field for 35,685 minutes while scoring 26 goals. He has collected 68 yellow card warnings so far in his career and has helped on a goal 48 times. You should also watch out for Wout Weghorst, the forward hailing from Netherlands. Weghorst has been handed a total of 44 yellow card cautions in 23,929 minutes played (260 starts). His goals per 90 minute average so far in his pro soccer career is 0.49. He has collected 130 goals so far in his career while assisting on a goal 35 times.

Nick Pope will look after the net for Burnley. Pope has racked up 84 shutouts while defending 916 shots against him in 19,629 minutes throughout his career. He sports a save % of 75.3 and his shutout rate is 38.7%. He has surrendered 1.08 goals per 90 while holding a record of 76-70-72. So far in his career, Pope has conceded 236 goals and has earned 687 stops in 217 starts.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Burnley (+213)

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