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Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, 5/7/2022 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/4/2022

soccer picks Phillip Bardsley Burnley predictions best bet odds

Game: Burnley vs Aston Villa

Date: Saturday, May 7, 2022

Location: Turf Moor in Lancashire, England

TV: Peacock Premium

Odds/Point Spread: Burnley (+219) Aston Villa (+137)

Aaron Lennon and Burnley (7-13-14, 16th in the EPL) host Aston Villa (12-4-17, 13th in the EPL) at Turf Moor on Saturday. The starting goalies will be Nick Pope for Burnley and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa. Aston Villa are at at +137 while the Clarets are priced at +219. The over/under opens at 2.5.

Burnley stepped onto the pitch against Watford in their most recent match and notched a win by a score of 2-1. When discussing the passing game, they earned a 78.1% passes received rate by connecting on 289 out of their 370 passing targets last contest. Burnley tried 13 dribbles in this matchup and were able to convert 4 of the dribbles for a percentage of 30.8%.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Burnley ended this match at a 35.3% rate by hitting 6 shots on target out of 17 total shots. Burnley has an average of 0.85 goals per 90 min (29 goals in total) and have accounted for 25 assists in all competitions for the season.

Aaron Lennon is a guy who should be able to impact this match for Burnley. He has 57 assists while tallying 26 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career. Lennon has had a starting assignment in 363 matchups during his soccer career and tallies 0.10 goals per 90. The forward from England has totaled 37 goals in 32,197 minutes played.

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Another guy who should impact this match is Wout Weghorst, the forward representing Netherlands. Weghorst has been on the field for 24,525 minutes during 268 career starting assignments and has earned himself a total of 46 yellow card cautions. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 36 times so far in his career while he has scored 131 goals. He currently averages 0.48 G/90 during his soccer career.

The guy defending the goal for Burnley is Nick Pope. Pope has defended the goal for a total of 20,349 mins and has 710 saves in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.1 (246 goals given up) and he has a save % of 75.4. The keeper hailing from England has faced 946 shots sent his way in 225 starts. Pope (80-71-75 record in his career) has tallied 86 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 38.2% shutout percentage.

For their last outing, Aston Villa took home the win by a final score of 2-0 against Norwich City. Aston Villa finished with a 100.0% successful dribble percentage by connecting on 5 out of the 5 dribbles they tried. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 334 out of their 388 passes they tried for a rate of 86.1%. Aston Villa had 5 shots tried out of 20 shots tried which had them sitting at a 25.0% rate in their last outing. Having accumulated 42 goals and 35 assists in all their contests, Aston Villa is averaging 1.27 goals and 1.06 assists per 90 min.

Philippe Coutinho should be able to be counted on for Aston Villa. He is currently averaging 0.34 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 245 matches thus far in his career. The forward born in Brazil has been on the field for 20,839 minutes and he has scored 78 goals. He has totaled 18 yellow card cautions in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 56 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for Danny Ings, the forward hailing from England. Ings has been handed a total of 24 yellow card cautions in 19,861 minutes (227 starting assignments). His goals per 90 min average in his career is 0.43. He has totaled 95 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 29 times.

Emiliano Martinez is expected to look after the goal for Aston Villa. In his pro soccer career, Martinez has surrendered 179 goals and has totaled 446 saves in 139 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 52-29-58. He is the owner of a save percentage of 72.8 and his clean sheet rate is currently 33.8%. Martinez has tallied 47 shutouts while seeing 615 shots attempted against him in 12,559 mins throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+137)

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