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Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction, 3/5/2022 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/1/2022

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Game: Burnley vs Chelsea

Date: Saturday, March 5, 2022

Location: Turf Moor in Lancashire, England

TV: USA Network

Odds/Point Spread: Burnley (+580) Chelsea (-286)

Romelu Lukaku and Chelsea (14-8-3, 3rd in the EPL) go to Turf Moor on Saturday where they'll meet Burnley (3-12-9, 18th in the EPL). The starting goalkeepers are Nick Pope for Burnley and Edouard Mendy for Chelsea. Burnley are at +580 while the Pensioners are at -286. The total has been set at 2.75.

Burnley faced off with Crystal Palace in their last matchup and earned a one point draw by a score of 1-1. In the passing game, they finished with a 82.6% received passes percentage by completing 271 of the 328 pass targets last match. Burnley tried 12 dribbles in this matchup and successfully completed 5 of the attempts for a percentage of 41.7%.

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In regard to shooting accuracy, Burnley finished the game at a 20.0% rate by landing 1 shot on target out of 5 shots. Burnley has an average of 0.83 goals per 90 (20 goals in total) and have accounted for 17 assists in all games for this campaign.

Wout Weghorst is a guy who should impact this matchup for Burnley. Weghorst has been in the starting lineup in 258 matches so far in his career and he scores 0.49 goals per 90 mins. The forward from Netherlands has accumulated 130 goals in 23,762 mins. He has 35 assists while earning 43 yellow cards so far in his career.

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Another player who should impact this match is Ashley Westwood, the midfielder representing England. He has helped a teammate on a goal 48 times during his pro soccer career and he has scored 26 goals. Westwood has totaled 35,508 minutes during 399 starts and has been given a total of 67 yellow card cautions. He averages 0.07 goals per 90 mins for his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Burnley is Nick Pope. Pope has defended the goal for a total of 19,449 minutes and has earned 682 stops in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.1 (230 goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 75.7. The goalkeeper from England has had 905 shots attempted against him in 215 career starts. Pope (76-70-70 record in his career) has accumulated 84 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 39.1% clean sheet rate.

For their last match, Chelsea earned three points by winning 1-0 against Crystal Palace. They wrapped up this match by converting 461 of the 537 passing attempts earning a percentage of 85.8%. Chelsea finished the match with a 62.5% successful dribble percentage by converting 10 of the 16 dribbles they attempted. Chelsea landed 3 shots tried out of their 10 shots tried earning them a 30.0% clip when they last took the field. Having accumulated 48 goals and 33 assists in all competitions, Chelsea is averaging 1.92 goals and 1.32 assists per 90 minutes.

Romelu Lukaku will be counted on for Chelsea. He has an average of 0.57 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 342 contests in his pro soccer career. The forward born in Belgium has played 31,121 professional minutes while scoring 197 goals. He has collected 29 yellow card warnings during his soccer career and has helped on a goal 60 times. Make sure to keep an eye out for Kai Havertz, the forward hailing from Germany. Havertz has earned himself a total of 13 yellow cards in 11,500 professional minutes played (130 starting assignments). His G/90 average thus far in his career is 0.33. He has tallied 42 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 25 different times.

Edouard Mendy will be looking after the net for Chelsea. So far in his career, Mendy has allowed 134 goals and has totaled 384 stops in 156 starts. He has given up 0.86 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a record of 58-39-26. He has a save percentage of 77.2 and his shutout rate sits at 43.6%. Mendy has earned 68 clean sheets and has defended 499 shots tried against him in 14,008 career mins.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Burnley (+580)

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