Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, 12/29/2022 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/27/2022

soccer picks Pau Lopez Marseille predictions best bet odds

Game: Marseille vs Toulouse

Date: Thursday, December 29, 2022

Location: Orange Vélodrome in Marseille, France

TV: Fanatiz USA

Odds/Point Spread: Marseille (-196) Toulouse (+490)

Orange Vélodrome is the site where Toulouse (4-4-7) will meet Marseille (9-3-3) on Thursday. Les Pitchouns are at at +490 and the Olympians are at -196. The total has been set at 2.75. The expected starting goaltenders are Pau Lopez for Marseille and Maxime Dupe for Toulouse.

Marseille has a total of 47 saves and also hold a SV% of 81.0 for the season. Their goal differential is 13 by means of 26 goals scored and also 13 goals conceded. So far this season, the club averages 2.00 points per contest (30 pts) and sit at 6th in the league with 18 assists. The Olympians sit at 6th in relation to xG having 24.2, and the team's xGA are sitting at 17.7. Marseille has earned 28 yellow card warnings on the campaign and also 2 red cards. OM has given up 13 goals while giving up 0.87 G/90, and the other team have accounted for 58 SoT on them. They have compiled 5 shut outs, which has them sitting at a percentage of 33.3 for the year.

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For the season, Toulouse FC has a save rate of 69.8 (86 SoT against), and also have a rank of 12th in the league with 16 pts. Les Pitchouns are sitting with an average of 1.1 pts per match while totaling 16 assists and 2 red cards. Toulouse has amassed 20 goals and this squad's xG this year is at 18.3. Toulouse FC has earned a clean sheet % of 13.3 so far this year and 24 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.80 in addition to 56 saves, and they have accumulated 2 clean sheets. Toulouse ranks 15th in goals surrendered having 27, and the team's goal differential is -7.

The man who will defend the goal for Marseille will be Pau Lopez. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.33 (255 goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save % of .692. Lopez (84-40-67 record during his career) has accumulated 50 shutouts, which leaves him with a 26.3% shutout percentage. Lopez has seen the field for 17,258 minutes and has accumulated 519 stops during his career. The goalie born in Spain has seen 750 shots sent his way in 190 starts.

Maxime Dupe will be residing in front of the goal for Toulouse. Dupe has earned 54 clean sheets while he has seen 596 shots against him in 14,529 career mins. He has a save percentage of .706 and his clean sheet rate is currently 33.5%. He has allowed 1.14 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 78-43-40. So far in his pro soccer career, Dupe has allowed 184 goals while earning 421 saves in 161 starts.

Cengiz Under is a member of the team who can be a difference maker for Marseille. He has accounted for 19 assists while tallying 10 yellow cards so far in his career. The forward born in Turkey has totaled 30 goals scored in 9,027 mins played. Under has been given a starting assignment in 105 matches during his pro soccer career and scores 0.30 goals per 90 mins.

Toulouse features an attacker in Thijs Dallinga, who has been known to frustrate defenses. The forward hailing from the Netherlands has been on the field for 4,220 mins while scoring 35 goals. He is currently averaging 0.75 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 49 contests so far in his career. He has totaled 5 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 9 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marseille (-196)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, 12/29/2022 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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