Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, 3/6/2022 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/4/2022

soccer picks Lorenzo Insigne Napoli predictions best bet odds

Game: Napoli vs AC Milan

Date: Sunday, March 6, 2022

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (+101) AC Milan (+289)

Stadio San Paolo is the venue where Matteo Politano and Napoli (17-6-4, 1st in Serie A) will play AC Milan (17-6-4, 2nd in Serie A) on Sunday. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be David Ospina for Napoli and Mike Maignan for AC Milan. AC Milan are at at +289 while the Blues are at +101. The over/under has been set at 2.5.

Napoli played Lazio in their last game and earned the victory with a final of 2-1. When talking about passing the ball, they earned a 89.7% received passes rate by completing 601 out of their 670 pass targets in their last outing. Napoli attempted 12 dribbles in this game and were successful in 10 of those tries for a rate of 83.3%.

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Regarding shot accuracy, Napoli finished the game at a 50.0% rate by putting 7 shots on target of 14 total shots. Napoli averages 1.81 g/90 (49 goals in total) and have earned 25 assists in all matches this year.

Matteo Politano is a guy who should be able to impact this game for Napoli. He has totaled 30 assists while accumulating 26 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career. Politano has started 204 games so far in his pro soccer career while scoring 0.24 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from Italy has tallied 48 goals in 17,676 minutes played.

One more guy who should impact this match is Lorenzo Insigne, the forward representing Italy. Insigne has totaled 26,378 minutes in 306 career starting assignments and has been given 26 yellow cards. He has assisted on a goal 86 times in his career and he has scored 110 total goals. He is averaging 0.38 goals per 90 mins so far in his pro soccer career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Napoli is David Ospina. Ospina (125-68-93 record in his career) has totaled 102 shutouts, which leaves him with a 35.4% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from Colombia has seen 1,168 shots tried at him in 288 career starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.10 (314 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is 73.7. Ospina has been on the field for a total of 25,681 mins and is sitting with 860 saves during his pro soccer career.

For their last match, AC Milan earned the draw by finishing with a tally of 1-1 against Udinese. AC Milan finished the match with a 58.3% successful dribble percentage by completing 14 out of the 24 dribbles they pursued. They finished this game by completing 445 of the 504 passes they tried for a rate of 88.3%. AC Milan had 3 shots on target out of 9 shots tried which had them at a 33.3% clip in their last game. With a total of 50 goals and 28 assists for all their games, AC Milan averages 1.85 goals and 1.04 assists per 90 minutes.

Olivier Giroud will need to provide a spark for AC Milan. He scores 0.54 goals per 90 and has been in the starting lineup in 269 outings so far in his pro soccer career. The forward born in France has totaled 25,030 mins while earning 151 goals. He has totaled 37 yellow cards during his soccer career and has helped on a goal 49 times. Make sure to watch out for Rafael Leao, the midfielder born in Croatia. He has accounted for 29 goals during his soccer career while assisting on a goal 15 times. Leao has been given 11 yellow cards in 6,380 mins (70 starts). His goals per 90 min average thus far in his career is 0.41.

Mike Maignan will look after the net for AC Milan. So far in his pro soccer career, Maignan has allowed 166 goals while totaling 435 saves in 168 starting assignments. He has conceded 0.99 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 88-36-44. He has a save percentage of 74.0 and his shutout rate is 38.7%. Maignan has earned 65 shutouts and defended 578 shots attempted against him in 15,138 minutes throughout his career.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take AC Milan (+289)

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Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, 3/6/2022 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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