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Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, 10/2/2022 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/26/2022

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Game: Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: GEODIS Park in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Nashville (-210) Houston (+585)

GEODIS Park is the location where the Dynamo (9-6-17) will go up against Nashville SC (12-11-9) on Sunday. Nashville SC opens at -210 while the Dynamo are at +585. The total comes in at 2.5. The expected starting goaltenders will be Joe Willis for Nashville SC and Steve Clark for Houston Dynamo.

Nashville SC has accumulated 88 saves and they also have a save % of 74.6 on the campaign. This team's differential on goals is currently at 11 with 50 goals scored and 39 goals relinquished. Over the course of the season, the team holds an average of 1.47 pts/match (47 points) and sit at 7th in soccer with 36 assists. The Nashville Soccer Club rank 9th in the category of xG with 47.2, and their expected goals against are coming in at 36.0. Nashville has accounted for 69 yellow cards on the campaign and 2 red cards. Nashville has allowed 37 goals while allowing 1.16 goals per 90, and opposing teams are sitting with 122 shots on target on them. They have recorded 8 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 25.0 so far this season.

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The Houston Dynamo have tallied 40 goals and this squad's goals expected the season is currently at 41.3. Their goals against per 90 minutes is 1.62 with 104 saves, and they have accounted for 6 shutouts. This season, Houston has a save % of 69.1 (149 shots on target against), and also sit at 26th in the league with 33 points. Houston has a ranking of 23rd in regard to goals against having 52, and their difference in goals is -12. Houston has tallied a shut out rate of 18.8 over the course of the season and 91 yellow card warnings. The Dynamo are averaging 1.0 points per contest while amassing 28 assists and 5 red cards.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Nashville will be Joe Willis. Willis (89-79-87 record in his career) has accumulated 65 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 25.7% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from the United States has faced 1,065 shots attempted at him in 253 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.31 (333 total goals given up) and he has earned a save % of .708. Willis has been on the field a total of 22,959 minutes and has 754 stops in his pro soccer career.

Steve Clark is expected to look after the net for Houston. Clark has tallied 77 clean sheets while he has seen 1,583 shots tried against him in 29,382 minutes throughout his career. He sports a save % of .716 and his shutout rate is currently at 23.5%. He has allowed 1.43 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 117-85-125. So far in his career, Clark has given up 466 goals and has racked up 1,134 stops in 328 starting assignments.

C.J. Sapong is a player you are going to want to keep your eye on for Nashville. Sapong has been in the starting lineup in 270 matchups during his soccer career and he tallies 0.33 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing the United States has recorded 89 goals scored in 24,231 mins. He has totaled 30 assists while accumulating 23 yellow card cautions so far in his career.

Houston features a game changer in Darwin Quintero, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He currently averages 0.33 goals per 90 mins and has started 320 contests so far in his career. The midfielder from Colombia has totaled 28,696 professional minutes while scoring 105 goals. He has accounted for 61 yellow cards in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 91 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nashville (-210)

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