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Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction, 12/31/2022 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/27/2022

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Game: Villarreal vs Valencia

Date: Saturday, December 31, 2022

Location: Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Villarreal (-103) Valencia (+295)

Villarreal (6-3-5) will take on Valencia (5-4-5) at Estadio de la Cerámica on Sunday. Villarreal opens at -103 while Valencia are priced +295. The total is 2.5. The starting goalkeepers are Geronimo Rulli Villarreal and Giorgi Mamardashvili Valencia.

The Submarino Amarillos had a ranking of 10th when it comes to xG with 17.2, and their xGA were at 14.6. Villarreal surrendered 10 goals while allowing 0.71 goals per 90 min, and opposing teams had 56 SoT on them. The team's differential on goals was sitting at 5 by 15 goals accumulated and also 10 goals relinquished. They had 7 shut outs, which put them at a percentage of 50.0 for the previous season. Villarreal earned 46 SVs and also were the owners of a SV percentage of 82.1 last year. Villarreal compiled 32 yellow cards during the previous year and also 2 red cards. Last campaign, the squad finished with an average of 1.50 points per match (21 pts) and they also sat at 19th in La Liga with 7 assists.

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On the season, Valencia CF had a save % of 74.5 (51 shots on target against), and were 11th in the league with 19 pts. The Ches finished with an average of 1.4 points per match while having 12 assists and 4 red cards. Valencia had a total of 22 goals and their xG in the prior season was sitting at 20.3. Valencia recorded a shut out percentage of 21.4 over the course of last year as well as 41 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 minutes was at 1.07 in addition to 38 saves, and they compiled 3 clean sheets. Valencia sat at 5th in goals surrendered with 15, and their goal difference was 7.

The man protecting the net for Villarreal will be Geronimo Rulli. Rulli (76-48-66 mark in his career) has earned 56 shutouts, which leaves him with a 29.5% shutout percentage. The keeper hailing from Argentina has had 778 shots sent his way in 190 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.29 (244 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .713. Rulli has seen the field a total of 17,051 mins and has tallied 555 saves thus far in his career.

Giorgi Mamardashvili will look after the goal for Valencia. Mamardashvili has tallied 3 shutouts while seeing 51 shots attempted against him in 1,260 minutes in his career. He is the owner of a save % of .745 and his clean sheet rate is 21.4%. He has conceded 1.07 goals per 90 while holding a record of 5-4-5. In his career, Mamardashvili has conceded 15 goals and has accounted for 38 saves in 14 starting assignments.

Alex Baena is a player who can be a difference maker for Villarreal. He has totaled 6 assists while accumulating 22 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career. The forward representing Spain has racked up 9 goals scored in 3,589 professional minutes played. Baena has started 42 matchups in his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.23 goals per 90 minutes.

Valencia is being led by Hugo Duro, who should keep defenses up at night. He scores 0.26 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 35 matches in his pro soccer career. The forward who is from Spain has totaled 3,106 mins while scoring 9 goals. He has collected 6 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 2 times.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Villarreal (-103)

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