AC Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction, 1/29/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: AC Milan vs Sassuolo

Date: Sunday, January 29, 2023

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: AC Milan (-259) Sassuolo (+630)

The Black and Greens (4-5-10) are hitting the road to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday where they will try to beat the Red and Blacks (11-5-2). Sassuolo are at at +630 while AC Milan are priced at -259. The total is 2.75. The starting goalkeepers will be Ciprian Tatarusanu for AC Milan and Gianluca Pegolo for Sassuolo.

The Red and Blacks have a ranking of 5th in relation to expected goals having 30.0, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 18.2. The Red and Blacks have surrendered 20 goals while surrendering 1.11 goals per 90, and the opposition have recorded 60 SoT against them. The team's difference in goals is currently at 15 with the help of 35 goals scored as well as 20 goals conceded. They have 4 clean sheets, which puts them at a percentage of 22.2 on the campaign. AC Milan has recorded 40 SVs and they hold a SV percentage of 68.3 for the season. AC Milan has recorded 45 yellow cards this year in addition to 2 red cards. This season, the squad comes in with an average of 2.11 pts per contest (38 pts) and sit at 2nd in the league with 28 assists.

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So far this season, U.S. Sassuolo Calcio has a save percentage of 57.6 (59 shots on target against), and also are ranked 17th in the league with 17 points. The Black and Greens average 0.9 points per contest while tallying 13 assists and 2 red cards. Sassuolo has recorded 18 goals and this squad's expected goals so far this season is sitting at 23.7. U.S. Sassuolo Calcio has accounted for a shut out rate of 26.3 so far this year and also 46 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 is at 1.53 with 30 saves, and they have amassed 5 clean sheets. Sassuolo ranks 15th when it comes to goals given up with 29, and their difference in goals is -11.

The man who will protect the net for AC Milan is Ciprian Tatarusanu. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.02 (344 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save % of .726. Tatarusanu (164-84-90 mark in his career) has recorded 120 shutouts, which gives him a 35.2% clean sheet percentage. Tatarusanu has played for 30,413 minutes and has accumulated 887 saves thus far in his career. The goalkeeper born in Romania has had 1,222 shots sent in his direction in 341 career starting assignments.

Gianluca Pegolo will be residing in front of the net for Sassuolo. Pegolo has racked up 95 shutouts while defending 1,473 shots against him in 29,025 mins throughout his career. He sports a save % of .733 and his clean sheet rate is 29.7%. He has given up 1.22 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 93-105-121. So far in his pro soccer career, Pegolo has conceded 395 goals while earning 1,080 saves in 320 starting assignments.

Junior Messias is one guy you are going to want to keep your eye on for AC Milan. He has totaled 9 assists while accumulating 14 yellow card cautions so far in his career. The forward from Brazil has 17 goals scored in 6,689 minutes played. Messias has had a starting assignment in 77 matchups in his career and has 0.23 goals per 90 mins.

Sassuolo has a guy in Domenico Berardi, who can cause havoc on the pitch. He averages 0.41 goals per 90 mins and has started 256 games in his pro soccer career. The forward who is from Italy has been on the pitch for 21,940 minutes while scoring 100 goals. He has accumulated 71 yellow cards during his soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 60 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AC Milan (-259)

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