Almeria vs Valencia Prediction, 4/9/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/4/2023

Game: Almeria vs Valencia

Date: Sunday, April 9, 2023

Location: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos in Almeria, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Almeria (+188) Valencia (+150)

The Ches (7-5-14) are hitting the road to Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos on Sunday where they will go up against the Rojiblancos (7-6-14). Valencia are priced at +150 and Almeria are priced +188. The over/under is set at 2.75. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Fernando Almeria and Giorgi Mamardashvili Valencia.

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Almeria had a total of 103 saves and held a SV% of 70.7 for the previous season. Their differential on goals was -15 with the help of 32 goals earned and 47 goals surrendered. For the previous season, this team averaged 1.00 pts per match (27 pts) and they also sat at 8th in La Liga with 22 assists. The Rojiblancos sat at 12th when it comes to xG having 32.8, and the squad's expected goals against sat at 46.0. Almeria tallied 78 yellow card warnings for the prior year and 3 red cards. Almeria surrendered 47 goals while allowing 1.74 goals per 90 min, and their opponents had 150 SoT against them. They had 2 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 7.4 in the prior season.

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Last season, Valencia CF had a save percentage of 72.9 (107 shots on target against), and had a ranking of 19th in La Liga with 26 pts. The Ches averaged 1.0 pts per fixture while accounting for 15 assists and 5 red cards. Valencia had 28 goals and this team's expected goals over the course of the prior season was 33.1. Valencia tallied a clean sheet percentage of 19.2 in the prior season and also 69 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 minutes was 1.19 with 78 saves, and they tallied 5 clean sheets. Valencia sat at 11th in relation to goals conceded with 31, and the goal differential sat at -3.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Almeria will be Fernando. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.07 (125 goals allowed) and his save % is .729. Martinez (52-25-41 mark in his professional soccer career) has totaled 34 clean sheets, which gives him a 29.1% shutout rate. Martinez has seen the pitch for 10,519 minutes and has 304 saves during his career. The keeper hailing from Spain has had 417 shots attempted at him in 117 career starting assignments.

Giorgi Mamardashvili will be looking after the goal for Valencia. In his career, Mamardashvili has surrendered 31 goals and has racked up 78 saves in 26 starts. He has allowed 1.19 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 7-5-14. He holds a save % of .729 and his clean sheet rate is 19.2%. Mamardashvili has earned 5 shutouts while defending 107 shots attempted against him in 2,340 minutes throughout his career.

Dyego Sousa is a member of the squad you are going to want to keep your eye on for Almeria. Sousa has been in the starting lineup in 98 contests during his soccer career and he has earned 0.48 goals per 90 mins. The forward hailing from Portugal has recorded 49 goals scored in 9,177 professional minutes. He has accounted for 17 assists while earning 21 yellow card cautions thus far in his career.

Valencia is being led onto the pitch by Hugo Duro, who should keep defenses up at night. He currently averages 0.22 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 40 games during his soccer career. The forward who is from Spain has been on the field for 3,686 minutes while scoring 9 goals. He has tallied 10 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 2 times.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Almeria (+188)

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Almeria vs Valencia Prediction, 4/9/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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