» Soccer Picks » Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction, 3/4/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction, 3/4/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/28/2023

Game: Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Atletico Madrid (-130) Sevilla (+390)

The Palanganas (6-7-10) are on their way to Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Red and Whites (12-6-5). Sevilla are priced at +390 while Atletico Madrid are priced -130. The over/under has been set at 2.5. The starting goaltenders will be Jan Oblak Atletico Madrid and Bono Sevilla.

soccer picks Jan Oblak Atletico Madrid predictions best bet odds

The Red and Whites were 5th in xG having 32.2, and the team's expected goals against were at 24.6. Atletico Madrid conceded 18 goals while conceding 0.78 goals per 90 minutes, and the other team compiled 72 shots on target on them. This team's goal differential sat at 14 by way of 32 goals put in the net and 18 goals given up. They had a total of 9 clean sheets, which gave them a percentage of 39.1 in the prior season. Atletico Madrid accumulated 54 saves and they had a SV% of 77.8 in the previous season. Atletico Madrid recorded 63 yellow card warnings last year and 7 red cards. For the prior campaign, the squad finished with an average of 1.83 pts/match (42 pts) and they also ranked 5th in the league with 23 assists.

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The Palanganas sat with an average of 1.1 pts per fixture while amassing 18 assists and 8 red cards. Sevilla had a shut out rate of 17.4 over the course of last season and also 78 yellow card cautions. Sevilla had a ranking of 14th in the category of goals given up with 33, and their goal difference was at -7. Over the course of the season, Sevilla FC had a save percentage of 70.2 (104 SoT against), and they also ranked 15th in the league with 25 pts. The team's goals against per 90 minutes was 1.43 in addition to 72 saves, and they earned 4 clean sheets. Sevilla recorded 26 goals and the squad's xG over the course of last year was at 26.8.

The guy who will defend the goal for Atletico Madrid is Jan Oblak. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.77 (236 total goals allowed) and he holds a save % of .777. Oblak (176-74-58 mark in his career) has earned 152 clean sheets, which gives him a 49.2% clean sheet percentage. Oblak has seen the pitch a total of 27,689 mins and has 758 saves in his career. The goalkeeper hailing from Slovenia has had 975 shots attempted at him in 309 career starts.

Bono will look after the net for Sevilla. Bounou has tallied 72 shutouts while defending 838 shots tried against him in 18,638 minutes throughout his career. He sports a save % of .743 and his shutout rate sits at 34.6%. He has allowed 1.14 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 91-55-62. In his career, Bounou has allowed 236 goals and has totaled 623 saves in 208 starts.

Antoine Griezmann is one guy who can be a force in the game for Atletico Madrid. The forward representing France has racked up 169 goals in 34,725 professional minutes played. Griezmann has been in the starting lineup in 405 games in his career and he tallies 0.44 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 63 assists while tallying 62 yellow cards during his career.

Sevilla features an attacker in Rafa Mir, who defenders will be preparing in this game. He has 11 yellow card cautions thus far in his career and has assisted on a goal 5 times. The forward representing Spain has totaled 6,646 minutes while earning 32 goals. He is currently averaging 0.43 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 73 matches thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sevilla (+390)

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