Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, 5/7/2023 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/1/2023

Game: Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-200) VfL Wolfsburg (+470)

The Wolves (12-10-8) are headed to Signal Iduna Park on Sunday where they will take on the Black and Yellow (19-4-7). The Black and Yellow open at -200 and VfL Wolfsburg are at +470. The total comes in at 2.5. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Gregor Kobel for Borussia Dortmund and Koen Casteels for VfL Wolfsburg.

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BVB has relinquished 40 goals while giving up 1.33 goals per 90 min, and their opponents have amassed 136 SoT against them. They have earned 10 shut outs, giving them a percentage of 33.3 for the season. Borussia Dortmund has accounted for 62 yellow card warnings for the season. The Black and Yellow are ranked 2nd in the matter of expected goals with 55.3, and the xGA are coming in at 37.9. So far this year, the team holds an average of 2.03 pts per match (61 pts) and also are 2nd in the league with 50 assists. The team's differential on goals is at 27 with 67 goals scored and also 40 goals conceded. Dortmund has a total of 97 saves and have a save percentage of 70.6 for the season.

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Wolfsburg has earned 54 goals and their xG on the campaign is 44.8. This team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.23 with 87 saves, and they have tallied 12 clean sheets. For the year, Wolfsburg has a save percentage of 73.2 (123 SoT against), and they also are ranked 7th in soccer with 46 points. VfL Wolfsburg sits at 4th in goals conceded having 37, and the goal difference is 17. VfL Wolfsburg has a shut out percentage of 40.0 this year and 56 yellow card cautions. The Wolves average 1.5 pts per match while having 41 assists.

The guy defending the goal for Borussia Dortmund will be Gregor Kobel. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.53 (201 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of .667. Kobel (68-21-44 mark in his career) has earned 35 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 26.3% clean sheet rate. Kobel has seen the field for 11,806 mins and is sitting with 369 stops during his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper born in Switzerland has had 553 shots sent his way in 133 career starting assignments.

Koen Casteels will be looking after the goal for VfL Wolfsburg. In his career, Casteels has given up 369 goals and has tallied 731 stops in 253 starts. He has allowed 1.46 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 92-75-86. He is the owner of a save percentage of .678 and his clean sheet rate sits at 29.2%. Casteels has totaled 74 shutouts while seeing 1,078 shots attempted against him in 22,744 minutes in his career.

Anthony Modeste is a member of the squad who can be a force in the game for Borussia Dortmund. He has totaled 23 assists while earning 43 yellow cards so far in his career. The forward born in France has racked up 153 goals in 26,927 mins. Modeste has been given a starting assignment in 300 outings during his soccer career and scores 0.51 goals per 90 mins.

VfL Wolfsburg has a player in Jonas Wind, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He has collected 9 yellow card cautions in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 20 times. The forward hailing from Denmark has been on the pitch for 8,692 mins and he has scored 46 goals. He is averaging 0.48 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 97 contests so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's Bundesliga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take VfL Wolfsburg (+470)

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Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, 5/7/2023 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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