Chelsea vs Everton Prediction, 3/18/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chelsea vs Everton

Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-219) Everton (+650)

Stamford Bridge is where Everton (6-7-14) will take on Chelsea (10-7-9) on Saturday. Chelsea are priced at -219 while Everton are at +650. The total comes in at 2.75. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Kepa Arrizabalaga for Chelsea and Jordan Pickford for Everton.

The Blues rank 14th for expected goals with 29.8, and their xGA are at 30.8. The Blues have allowed 26 goals while relinquishing 1.00 goals per 90 min, and opposing teams have earned 106 shots on target against them. This team's goal differential is at 1 by 27 goals put in the net and 26 goals conceded. They have accumulated 9 shut outs, giving them a percentage of 34.6 on the campaign. Chelsea has accounted for 82 saves and have a SV rate of 75.5 over the course of the season. Chelsea has compiled 56 yellow card warnings this year in addition to 3 red cards. For the season, the team comes in with an average of 1.42 points per fixture (37 pts) and also are ranked 13th in soccer with 20 assists.

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The Toffees have put together an average of 0.9 points per contest while earning 15 assists. The Toffees have recorded a clean sheet % of 25.9 so far this year and also 62 yellow cards. Everton is 17th for goals allowed having 38, and their goal difference is sitting at -18. For the year, the Toffees have a save % of 73.1 (130 shots on target against), and also sit at 15th in EPL with 25 points. This team's goals against per 90 minutes is 1.41 with 92 saves, and they have earned 7 shut outs. Everton has totaled 20 goals and this squad's xG on the campaign is at 28.4.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Chelsea is Kepa Arrizabalaga. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.15 (240 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is .709. Arrizabalaga (88-53-67 record in his career) has tallied 69 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.2% clean sheet rate. Arrizabalaga has seen the field for a total of 18,666 mins and has 564 saves during his pro soccer career. The goalie from Spain has had 796 shots attempted at him in 208 career starts.

Jordan Pickford will be looking after the net for Everton. He has conceded 1.41 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 109-88-154. Pickford has accumulated 95 clean sheets and has defended 1,540 shots against him in 31,584 mins throughout his career. So far in his career, Pickford has allowed 496 goals while totaling 1,060 stops in 353 starts. He sports a save percentage of .688 and his shutout rate is 26.9%.

Kai Havertz is a member of the team who can be a difference maker for Chelsea. Havertz has had a starting assignment in 161 matchups so far in his career and tallies 0.34 G/90. The forward from Germany has accumulated 54 goals scored in 14,162 professional minutes. He has 28 assists while earning 19 yellow cards during his pro soccer career.

Everton has an attacker in Neal Maupay, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward representing France has been on the pitch for 18,737 minutes while scoring 82 goals. He currently averages 0.39 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 204 matches thus far in his career. He has accounted for 43 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 23 times.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chelsea (-219)

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