Empoli vs Spezia Prediction, 2/11/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Empoli vs Spezia

Date: Saturday, February 11, 2023

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani in Empoli, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Empoli (+106) Spezia (+265)

The Eagles (4-6-11) are on their way to Stadio Carlo Castellani on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Blues (6-8-7). The Eagles are at at +265 while the Blues are at +106. The over/under comes in at 2.75. The starting goalies are Guglielmo Vicario for Empoli and Bartlomiej Dragowski for Spezia.

The Blues have conceded 26 goals while giving up 1.24 goals per 90, and opponents have compiled 92 SoT against them. They have 7 clean sheets, which has them at a % of 33.3 for the year. Empoli has accumulated 52 yellow cards on the campaign in addition to 4 red cards. The Blues are ranked 16th in the matter of expected goals with 20.1, and the squad's expected goals against are sitting at 32.3. This season, this team is sitting with an average of 1.24 points per match (26 pts) and also rank 17th in Serie A with 11 assists. This team's difference in goals is currently at -7 with the help of 19 goals compiled and 26 goals allowed. Empoli has tallied 65 saves and also hold a save rate of 72.8 so far this season.

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This year, the Eagles have a save rate of 68.8 (109 SoT against), and also have a ranking of 17th in the league with 18 pts. The Eagles come in with an average of 0.9 pts/match while accounting for 10 assists and 2 red cards. Spezia has totaled 17 goals and this squad's goals expected this season is currently at 19.0. The Eagles have accumulated a shut out rate of 14.3 so far this season in addition to 56 yellow card cautions. The team's goals against per 90 min is 1.67 in addition to 74 saves, and they have a total of 3 shut outs. Spezia has a rank of 18th in the matter of goals given up with 35, and the squad's goal differential sits at -18.

The man protecting the net for Empoli is Guglielmo Vicario. His goals against per 90 minutes is 0.84 (82 total goals allowed) and he holds a save % of .739. Vicario (31-31-36 record during his career) has earned 24 shutouts, which has earned him a 24.5% shutout rate. Vicario has seen the field for 8,837 minutes and has earned 212 stops in his career. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 287 shots tried at him in 98 starting assignments.

Bartlomiej Dragowski will be residing in front of the net for Spezia. During his professional soccer career, Dragowski has allowed 225 goals and has accumulated 435 saves in 139 starts. He has surrendered 1.34 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 38-38-64. He holds a save % of .678 and his clean sheet rate sits at 22.3%. Dragowski has racked up 31 clean sheets and has defended 642 shots tried against him in 12,542 career minutes.

Martin Satriano is a player who should impact this matchup for Empoli. Satriano has been given a starting assignment in 27 contests so far in his career and has 0.21 goals per 90. The forward born in Italy has accumulated 5 goals scored in 2,165 professional minutes played. He has totaled 1 assists while earning 8 yellow card cautions during his career.

Spezia features Daniele Verde, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He scores 0.27 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 89 matches in his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Italy has 8,292 minutes while he has scored 25 goals. He has totaled 6 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 13 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Empoli (+106)

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