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Lens vs Ajaccio Prediction, 5/27/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/22/2023

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Game: Lens vs Ajaccio

Date: Saturday, May 27, 2023

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Lens, France

TV: Fanatiz USA

Odds/Point Spread: Lens (-625) Ajaccio (+1850)

Lens (23-9-4) will play Ajaccio (6-5-25) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on Saturday. Lens are priced at -625 and the Bears are priced at +1850. The betting total comes in at 2.75. The men protecting the net will be Brice Samba for Lens and Benjamin Leroy for Ajaccio.

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Lens has accounted for 98 saves and they are the owners of a SV rate of 80.0 over the course of the season. Their difference in goals is 34 as a result of 62 goals compiled and also 28 goals conceded. This year, the club sports an average of 2.17 points per match (78 pts) and they also rank 4th in Ligue 1 with 44 assists. The Blood and Gold rank 4th in regard to expected goals having 61.4, and their xGA are sitting at 40.0. Lens has a total of 59 yellow cards on the year and 3 red cards. RC Lens relinquished 28 goals while allowing 0.78 goals per 90 min, and opponents have earned 125 SoT on them. They are sitting with 14 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a rate of 38.9 so far this year.

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The Bears sport an average of 0.6 pts/match while having 12 assists and 10 red cards. AC Ajaccio has amassed a clean sheet percentage of 13.9 on the campaign in addition to 83 yellow cards. Ajaccio is ranked 20th in relation to goals surrendered with 71, and the squad's difference in goals sits at -49. This season, AC Ajaccio has a save % of 59.4 (155 SoT against), and also are 19th in Ligue 1 with 23 points. Their goals against per 90 is 1.97 in addition to 86 saves, and they have earned 5 clean sheets. Ajaccio has amassed 22 goals and the team's expected goals so far this season is sitting at 35.7.

The guy defending the goal for Lens will be Brice Samba. Samba has played for 18,558 minutes and has tallied 585 stops thus far in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.00 (206 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .762. The goalie hailing from Congo has faced 768 shots sent his way in 205 career starts. Samba (82-63-61 record in his career) has accounted for 69 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.7% shutout rate.

Benjamin Leroy will look after the goal for Ajaccio. He has surrendered 1.21 goals per 90 while holding a mark of 107-91-131. Leroy has earned 107 shutouts while defending 1,049 shots tried against him in 29,333 career mins. So far in his career, Leroy has allowed 395 goals and has totaled 714 saves in 330 starts. He has earned a save % of .681 and his clean sheet rate sits at 32.4%.

Florian Sotoca is one member of the side who can make a difference on the pitch for Lens. The forward born in France has racked up 41 goals scored in 13,222 mins played. Sotoca has been a starter in 150 outings during his soccer career and he scores 0.28 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 26 assists while tallying 25 yellow card cautions during his soccer career.

Ajaccio features Yoann Touzghar, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward hailing from Tunisia has earned 21,383 mins while he has scored 85 goals. He sports an average of 0.36 G/90 and has been a starter in 248 matches during his soccer career. He has accumulated 7 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 23 times.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Lens (-625)

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