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Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, 5/17/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/15/2023

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Game: Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo

Date: Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Location: Allianz Field in Saint Paul, MN

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+102) Houston (+260)

The Dynamo (4-2-4) are en route to Allianz Field on Wednesday where they will go up against the Loons (3-3-5). The Loons open at +102 while the Dynamo are at +260. The total is set at 2.5. The expected starting goalies will be Dayne St. Clair for Minnesota and Steve Clark for Houston.

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Minnesota United FC has compiled 21 SVs and they hold a save rate of 60.0 so far this season. The team's difference in goals is -4 by way of 10 goals accumulated and 14 goals allowed. On the year, the squad has put together an average of 1.09 points per match (12 points) and are ranked 28th in soccer with 4 assists. The United rank 14th in expected goals with 14.2, and the xGA are at 13.5. Minnesota has a total of 18 yellow card warnings the season. The United have given up 14 goals while surrendering 1.27 goals per 90, and the opposition have amassed 35 SoT against them. They have accounted for 3 clean sheets, giving them a % of 27.3% this year.

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Over the course of the season, Houston has a save percentage of 82.5 (40 shots on target against), and are 20th in MLS with 14 pts. The Dynamo are sitting with an average of 1.40 points per contest while totaling 5 assists and 3 red cards. The Houston Dynamo have totaled 10 goals and the team's expected goals over the course of the season is 10.7. Houston has accumulated a clean sheet percentage of 50.0% the year and also 23 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 0.90 in addition to 31 saves, and they have 5 shutouts. Houston sits at 11th in relation to goals allowed having 9, and their goal differential sits at 1.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Minnesota will be Dayne St. Clair. St. Clair (26-13-25 mark during his soccer career) has earned 17 clean sheets, which gives him a 26.6% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper born in Canada has had 280 shots tried against him in 64 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.35 (86 total goals given up) and he has a save % of .696. St. Clair has seen the field for 5,715 minutes and has earned 195 stops in his pro soccer career.

Steve Clark will be looking after the net for Houston. He has allowed 1.57 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 18-13-24. Clark has racked up 15 shutouts and has seen 258 shots attempted against him in 4,988 career minutes. So far in his pro soccer career, Clark has allowed 87 goals while tallying 174 saves in 55 starting assignments. He is the owner of a save % of .674 and his clean sheet rate is 27.3%.

Robin Lod is a guy who should impact this matchup for Minnesota. He has 31 assists while tallying 23 yellow card warnings thus far in his career. The forward from Finland has totaled 51 goals scored in 19,073 professional minutes played. Lod has been given a starting assignment in 217 matchups in his career and he accounts for 0.24 goals per 90 mins.

Houston features a game changer in Adalberto Carrasquilla, who defenders will be preparing in this game. He has accumulated 22 yellow card cautions in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 4 times. The midfielder from Panama has earned 5,566 mins while earning 5 goals. He is averaging 0.08 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 63 matches so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+102)

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