Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, 9/23/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/21/2023

Game: Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles FC

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Subaru Park in Chester, PA

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+106) Los Angeles (+236)

The Union (14-6-8) welcome Los Angeles FC (12-8-9) at Subaru Park on Saturday. The Zolos open at +106 and LAFC is at +236. The total has been set at 2.5. The expected starting goalkeepers are Andre Blake for Philadelphia and John McCarthy for Los Angeles.

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The Union have a rank of 7th in relation to xG having 42.3, and their xGA are sitting at 36.3. The Union have conceded 35 goals while allowing 1.25 goals per 90 minutes, and their opponents have amassed 101 SoT on them. The team's goal differential is currently at 16 by 51 goals scored and 35 goals relinquished. They have amassed 8 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a % of 28.6% this season. Philadelphia has tallied 69 SVs and are the owners of a save percentage of 68.3 so far this year. Philadelphia has accumulated 69 yellow card warnings this year and also 5 red cards. On the year, the squad sports an average of 1.71 points per match (48 points) and they also sit at 6th in MLS with 29 assists.

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Los Angeles FC has totaled 44 goals and the squad's xG over the course of the season is sitting at 46.3. The club's goals against/90 minutes is at 1.17 in addition to 77 saves, and they have accumulated 10 shutouts. This year, LAFC has a save rate of 72.1 (111 SoTA), and they also are 9th in soccer with 44 pts. Los Angeles has a rank of 7th when it comes to goals conceded having 34, and the goal differential is coming in at 10. LAFC has earned a shut out % of 34.5% this year and 59 yellow card cautions. The LA Football Club come in with an average of 1.52 points per fixture while totaling 28 assists and 1 red card.

The man defending the goal for Philadelphia is Andre Blake. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.32 (20 goals allowed) and he has a save % of .750. Blake (27-14-22 mark in his career) has totaled 20 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 31.7% clean sheet rate. Blake has been on the pitch for 5,620 minutes and has 57 stops in his career. The goalkeeper born in Jamaica has had 76 shots tried against him in 63 career starts.

John McCarthy will reside in front of the goal for Los Angeles. He has conceded 1.58 goals per 90 and he has a record of 43-21-55. McCarthy has earned 25 shutouts and has seen 558 shots tried against him in 10,720 minutes throughout his career. So far in his pro soccer career, McCarthy has allowed 188 goals and has racked up 370 saves in 119 starting assignments. He is the owner of a save percentage of .663 and his clean sheet rate is currently 21.0%.

Julian Carranza is a man who can make an impact for Philadelphia. Carranza has had a starting assignment in 88 contests so far in his pro soccer career while he scores 0.43 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Argentina has totaled 39 goals scored in 8,217 professional minutes. He has accounted for 11 assists while accumulating 33 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career.

Los Angeles has playmaker in Carlos Vela, who the defense is sure to gameplan in this matchup. He has totaled 52 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 84 times. The forward hailing from Mexico has been on the pitch for 32,354 professional minutes and has scored 160 goals. He currently averages 0.45 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 362 outings in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (+236)

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Pick:	MINNESOTA GOPHERS +8.5
Start:	October 5, 2024 @ 7:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #390 Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5 over USC Trojans (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 BTN) Just do not expect Minnesota to meltdown like Wisconsin did last week against USC. The Trojans are not strong in the trenches, and I do not believe they will be able to convert a high percentage of third downs like they did last week. Minnesota took Michigan to the wire last week, a team that beat USC earlier this season and I think they can do the same on Saturday. Look for a lower scoring game and getting points is the way to go. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card, as we will have a bounce back week. Sign-up now with a long term package and let 53 years of handicapping experience work for you. Read More Read Less

Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, 9/23/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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