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Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction, 5/28/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/22/2023

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Game: Southampton vs Liverpool

Date: Sunday, May 28, 2023

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+550) Liverpool (-243)

Southampton (6-6-25) are hosting Liverpool (19-9-9) at St. Mary's Stadium on Sunday. The Saints are priced at +550 and Liverpool are at -243. The betting total comes in at 2.5. The starting goalies are Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Alisson for Liverpool.

soccer picks Adam Armstrong Southampton predictions best bet odds

The Saints have conceded 69 goals while giving up 1.86 goals per 90 min, and the opposition are sitting with 142 shots on target against them. They have a total of 4 shut outs, giving them a percentage of 10.8 on the campaign. Southampton has accounted for 73 yellow cards so far this season. The Saints sit at 20th in regard to expected goals with 36.0, and their xGA are coming in at 57.0. So far this year, the squad is sitting with an average of 0.65 pts per fixture (24 pts) and rank 18th in EPL with 22 assists. Their differential on goals is currently at -37 as a result of 32 goals scored and 69 goals given up. Southampton has accounted for 77 SVs and they are the owners of a save rate of 52.8 on the campaign.

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For the year, Liverpool F.C. has a save % of 72.1 (147 shots on target against), and also are ranked 5th in EPL with 66 pts. The Reds are averaging 1.8 pts per contest while tallying 55 assists and 1 red card. Liverpool has totaled 71 goals and the team's expected goals so far this year is sitting at 68.6. Liverpool F.C. has a shut out % of 37.8 over the course of the season as well as 55 yellow cards. The team's goals against/90 min is 1.16 in addition to 105 saves, and they are sitting with 14 clean sheets. Liverpool is ranked 4th in the category of goals against having 43, and their goal difference is sitting at 28.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Southampton will be Alex McCarthy. McCarthy (84-77-109 record in his career) has earned 63 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 23.4% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from England has had 1,275 shots attempted at him in 269 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.49 (402 goals surrendered) and he has earned a save % of .695. McCarthy has played for a total of 24,230 minutes and has 886 saves during his soccer career.

Alisson will be looking after the goal for Liverpool. Alisson has recorded 113 clean sheets while seeing 668 shots attempted against him in 22,179 career mins. He has a save % of .751 and his clean sheet rate sits at 45.6%. He has conceded 0.70 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 158-51-39. In his career, Alisson has allowed 172 goals while earning 502 stops in 248 starting assignments.

Adam Armstrong is one guy who can be a force in the game for Southampton. He has accounted for 31 assists while tallying 13 yellow card cautions so far in his career. The forward born in England has 88 goals in 20,865 minutes played. Armstrong has started 233 matches during his career while scoring 0.38 goals per 90 minutes.

Liverpool features Mohamed Salah, who can change the course of a fixture. He has earned 12 yellow card cautions during his soccer career and has helped on a goal 85 times. The forward from Egypt has 27,301 professional minutes while he has scored 183 goals. He currently averages 0.60 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 305 matches in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Southampton (+550)

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