Spezia vs Hellas Verona Prediction, 3/5/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/28/2023

Game: Spezia vs Hellas Verona

Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco in Cesena, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Spezia (+183) Hellas Verona (+164)

Stadio Alberto Picco is where Hellas Verona (4-5-14) will compete against Spezia (4-8-12) on Sunday. The Eagles are priced at +183 and Hellas Verona are priced at +164. The over/under is set at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Bartlomiej Dragowski for Spezia and Lorenzo Montipo for Hellas Verona.

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Spezia has recorded 85 saves and they also hold a SV percentage of 68.3 on the season. This team's differential on goals is currently at -20 by way of 21 goals notched and 41 goals relinquished. So far this year, the squad is sitting with an average of 0.83 pts per match (20 points) and also rank 17th in soccer with 12 assists. The Eagles rank 14th in the matter of xG having 24.3, and the xGA are at 39.2. Spezia has a total of 65 yellow cards so far this year and 3 red cards. The Eagles have conceded 41 goals while allowing 1.71 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have 126 SoT against them. They have compiled 3 clean sheets, which has them at a % of 12.5 for the season.

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Hellas Verona has tallied 20 goals and their expected goals so far this season is sitting at 22.9. The club's goals against/90 minutes is currently at 1.48 in addition to 81 saves, and they have accounted for 3 shut outs. On the year, Verona has a save rate of 70.4 (115 shots on target against), and are ranked 18th in the league with 17 pts. Hellas Verona is 16th in relation to goals surrendered with 34, and their goal differential is sitting at -14. Verona has amassed a shut out percentage of 13.0 over the course of the season and also 65 yellow card warnings. The Yellow and Blues are averaging 0.7 pts/match while compiling 15 assists and 3 red cards.

The man defending the goal for Spezia will be Bartlomiej Dragowski. Dragowski (38-40-65 record in his career) has recorded 31 shutouts, which gives him a 21.8% clean sheet percentage. The keeper born in Poland has had 656 shots attempted at him in 142 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.35 (229 total goals given up) and his save % is .678. Dragowski has defended the goal for 12,746 minutes and is sitting with 445 saves so far in his pro soccer career.

Lorenzo Montipo is expected to look after the goal for Hellas Verona. During his career, Montipo has allowed 189 goals while totaling 408 stops in 167 starts. He has conceded 1.13 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 58-47-62. He sports a save percentage of .696 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 26.3%. Montipo has racked up 44 shutouts while defending 586 shots against him in 15,030 career mins.

Daniele Verde is a man who can make a noticable difference for Spezia. Verde has been a starter in 92 matchups during his soccer career and scores 0.29 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Italy has accumulated 27 goals in 8,482 professional minutes. He has 13 assists while tallying 7 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career.

Hellas Verona has a player in Darko Lazovic, who gives opposing coaches headaches. The midfielder representing Serbia has been on the field for 27,219 mins while he has scored 47 goals. He is averaging 0.16 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 309 matches in his career. He has accumulated 24 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 54 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Hellas Verona (+164)

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Spezia vs Hellas Verona Prediction, 3/5/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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