Troyes vs Brest Prediction, 3/19/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Troyes vs Brest
Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023
Location: Stade de l'Aube in Troyes, France
TV: Fanatiz USA
Odds/Point Spread: Troyes (+181) Brest (+154)
The Pirates (5-8-14) are traveling to Stade de l'Aube on Sunday where they will try to defeat the ESTAC (4-8-15). The ESTAC are priced at +181 and the Pirates are priced at +154. The betting total is set at 2.5. The goalies expected to start will be Gauthier Gallon for Troyes and Marco Bizot for Brest.
ES Troyes AC has relinquished 59 goals while conceding 2.19 G/90, and opponents have compiled 152 SoT on them. They have amassed 1 clean sheet, which has them at a percentage of 3.7 this year. Troyes is sitting with 45 yellow card warnings so far this year as well as 4 red cards. The ESTAC sit at 14th in expected goals having 29.6, and the xGA are 50.8. So far this year, this team comes in with an average of 0.74 points per match (20 points) and also are 14th in the league with 21 assists. The team's difference in goals is at -23 with the help of 36 goals tallied and also 59 goals given up. Troyes has recorded 94 SVs and have earned a save% of 65.1 for the season.
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Brest has tallied 28 goals and this squad's expected goals this year is 28.7. Their goals against per 90 min is 1.63 in addition to 96 saves, and they have recorded 5 clean sheets. On the year, Stade Brestois 29 has a save % of 72.1 (140 SoT against), and are 15th in the league with 23 points. Brest sits at 16th in the matter of goals conceded with 44, and the squad's difference in goals is coming in at -16. Stade Brestois 29 has a clean sheet % of 18.5 for the season as well as 46 yellow card warnings. The Pirates sport an average of 0.9 points per match while accumulating 17 assists and 2 red cards.
The man defending the goal for Troyes will be Gauthier Gallon. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.37 (268 total goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .673. Gallon (76-47-73 mark in his career) has earned 57 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 29.1% clean sheet percentage. Gallon has seen the pitch for 17,622 minutes and is sitting with 410 stops during his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper hailing from France has seen 609 shots tried at him in 196 starting assignments.
Marco Bizot will be residing in front of the net for Brest. During his professional soccer career, Bizot has allowed 389 goals while tallying 862 saves in 305 starts. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 147-64-96. He sports a save % of .718 and his clean sheet rate sits at 29.5%. Bizot has totaled 90 clean sheets while defending 1,200 shots against him in 27,362 mins in his career.
Mama Balde is a player who can be a force on the pitch for Troyes. Balde has had a starting assignment in 121 matchups in his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.32 G/90. The forward from Guinea has 37 goals scored in 10,496 mins. He has 9 assists while earning 20 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career.
Brest has playmaker in Jeremy Le Douaron, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward hailing from France has been on the field for 3,556 professional minutes and has scored 12 goals. He averages 0.30 goals per 90 minutes and has started 37 matches thus far in his career. He has earned 1 yellow card during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 7 times.
Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brest (+154)
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