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Troyes vs PSG Prediction, 5/7/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/1/2023

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Game: Troyes vs PSG

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Stade de l'Aube in Troyes, France

TV: Fanatiz USA

Odds/Point Spread: Troyes (+940) PSG (-420)

Troyes (4-10-19) are welcoming PSG (24-3-6) at Stade de l'Aube on Sunday. PSG are at at -420 while the ESTAC are at +940. The over/under is 2.75. The expected starting goaltenders are Gauthier Gallon for Troyes and Gianluigi Donnarumma for PSG.

soccer picks Mama Balde Troyes predictions best bet odds

The ESTAC are 17th in the matter of expected goals with 36.6, and their expected goals against are coming in at 65.7. ES Troyes AC has relinquished 70 goals while surrendering 2.12 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have earned 190 shots on target against them. The team's differential on goals is currently at -29 by way of 41 goals put in the net and 70 goals conceded. They have accumulated 1 clean sheet, giving them a rate of 3.0 on the campaign. Troyes has compiled 121 saves and have a save% of 66.8 so far this year. Troyes has earned 51 yellow card warnings this year as well as 4 red cards. For the year, the team has put together an average of 0.67 pts/match (22 pts) and are 16th in Ligue 1 with 23 assists.

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The Parisians are averaging 2.3 points per match while compiling 57 assists and 4 red cards. The Parisians have tallied a clean sheet percentage of 36.4 for the season and also 52 yellow cards. PSG sits at 1st in the matter of goals allowed having 34, and their difference in goals is at 42. Over the course of the season, the Parisians have a save % of 77.0 (139 SoTA), and also are 1st in Ligue 1 with 75 points. The club's goals against/90 minutes is currently at 1.03 with 105 saves, and they have tallied 12 clean sheets. PSG has totaled 76 goals and the team's expected goals this season is currently at 66.5.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Troyes is Gauthier Gallon. Gallon (76-49-77 record during his career) has accounted for 57 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 28.2% clean sheet percentage. The goalie hailing from France has had 647 shots tried against him in 202 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.38 (279 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .675. Gallon has defended the goal for a total of 18,162 minutes and has accumulated 437 saves so far in his pro soccer career.

Gianluigi Donnarumma will reside in front of the goal for PSG. Donnarumma has racked up 88 shutouts and has seen 1,006 shots attempted against him in 23,591 minutes in his career. He holds a save % of .740 and his shutout rate is 33.2%. He has conceded 1.06 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 145-59-59. So far in his pro soccer career, Donnarumma has conceded 278 goals and has racked up 744 saves in 265 starts.

Mama Balde is one player who can be a difference maker for Troyes. Balde has had a starting assignment in 126 matches in his career and he scores 0.32 goals per 90. The forward representing Guinea has 39 goals in 11,001 mins played. He has accounted for 9 assists while accumulating 20 yellow card cautions thus far in his career.

PSG is being led onto the pitch by Lionel Messi, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward hailing from Argentina has totaled 46,717 mins while scoring 495 goals. He averages 0.95 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 516 contests so far in his career. He has tallied 50 yellow cards during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 220 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take PSG (-420)

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