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VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, 4/30/2023 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/25/2023

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Game: VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023

Location: Volkswagen Arena in Wolfsburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (+134) FSV Mainz 05 (+198)

Volkswagen Arena is the site where FSV Mainz 05 (12-9-8) will take on VfL Wolfsburg (11-10-8) on Sunday. VfL Wolfsburg are priced at +134 while FSV Mainz 05 are at +198. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The goalies expected to start will be Koen Casteels for VfL Wolfsburg and Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05.

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Wolfsburg has tallied 85 SVs and they also have earned a save% of 72.7 on the season. Their difference in goals is at 14 with the help of 51 goals put in the net in addition to 37 goals surrendered. This year, the squad sports an average of 1.48 points per match (43 pts) and they also are 4th in Bundesliga with 38 assists. The Wolves sit at 6th in relation to expected goals having 42.9, and the team's expected goals against are 40.9. VfL Wolfsburg has a total of 55 yellow card warnings over the course of the season. VfL Wolfsburg has relinquished 37 goals while relinquishing 1.28 G/90, and opponents are sitting with 121 shots on target against them. They have accounted for 11 clean sheets, which has them at a rate of 37.9 this season.

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On the campaign, Mainz has a save rate of 67.5 (117 SoTA), and also are ranked 7th in the league with 45 points. The O-Fives sport an average of 1.6 pts per fixture while sitting with 32 assists and 1 red card. Mainz has accounted for 49 goals and their goals expected for the year is sitting at 39.9. Mainz 05 has accumulated a clean sheet rate of 24.1 for the year and also 55 yellow card warnings. This team's goals against/90 min is 1.38 in addition to 75 saves, and they have earned 7 shutouts. FSV Mainz 05 ranks 7th in relation to goals surrendered with 40, and the goal differential is 9.

The man who will defend the goal for VfL Wolfsburg is Koen Casteels. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.47 (369 goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of .678. Casteels (91-75-86 record in his career) has accumulated 73 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 29.0% clean sheet percentage. Casteels has seen the field for a total of 22,654 minutes and is sitting with 729 stops in his pro soccer career. The keeper from Belgium has seen 1,076 shots attempted against him in 252 starts.

Robin Zentner will reside in front of the goal for FSV Mainz 05. Zentner has racked up 46 shutouts while defending 779 shots tried against him in 16,155 career minutes. He is the owner of a save percentage of .691 and his shutout rate is 25.6%. He has allowed 1.43 goals per 90 mins while holding a record of 57-49-74. Thus far in his career, Zentner has allowed 256 goals and has tallied 538 stops in 180 starts.

Jonas Wind is one member of the squad who has a chance to score for VfL Wolfsburg. He has accounted for 20 assists while accumulating 9 yellow card warnings so far in his career. The forward born in Denmark has tallied 44 goals scored in 8,610 mins played. Wind has had a starting assignment in 96 outings so far in his pro soccer career and has 0.46 goals per 90 minutes.

FSV Mainz 05 has playmaker in Lee Jae-Sung, who can change the course of a fixture. He has totaled 22 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 41 times. The forward representing South Korea has been on the pitch for 22,152 mins while scoring 56 goals. He currently averages 0.23 goals per 90 and has been given a starting assignment in 254 games so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take VfL Wolfsburg (+134)

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